1. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal
Rice University
Department of Economics
March 23, 2014
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 0 of 30
2. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 1 of 30
3. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Motivational Puzzle
New Washington Consensus: Utilitarianism + social safety nets
⇒ Grounded in 20th
-Century liberal theories of justice (Rawls + Sen)
Had been implemented de facto, if only to avoid social unrest
Puzzle: Egypt and Tunisia, apparently successful, erupted,
demanding “Social Justice!”
Does “Islam”(ism) reject Rawls-type conceptions of social justice?
First clue: Revolutionaries were not poor, they were middle class!
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 2 of 30
4. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Poor Have Not Fared Too Badly in MENA
Ratio of Top Decile and Bottom Decile Shares in GDP
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Turkey
Korea
Egypt
Algeria
Morocco
Jordan
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 3 of 30
5. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Middle Classes Have Not Fared Too Well in MENA
Ratio of Top Decile and Fifth Decile Shares in GDP
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Egypt
Turkey
Jordan
Morocco
Algeria
Korea
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 4 of 30
6. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 5 of 30
7. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle on Distributive Justice
Book V of Nicomachean Ethics:
...and the just here is a middle term, whereas the unjust is
what is contrary to the proportion, for the proportion is a
middle term and the just is a proportion. The
mathematicians call this sort of proportion “geometric.”
...as a farmer stands in relation to a shoemaker, so the work
of the shoemaker stands in relation to that of the farmer. But
one must not bring the works into the figure of the
proportion after they have been exchanged ...
Second clue: Were the middle classes not getting their “fair share?”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 6 of 30
8. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto
Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only
Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid):
Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined
by the ratio of monetary values of different goods...
As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight,
equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous
...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or
weight, since the benefits are very similar.
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
9. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto
Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only
Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid):
Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined
by the ratio of monetary values of different goods...
As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight,
equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous
...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or
weight, since the benefits are very similar.
Is it too much to read Pareto efficiency in this “benefit” analysis?
1/quantity ratio = price ratio = ratio of [marginal?] benefits
No distributive justice considerations (Aristotelian merit)?
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
10. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
11. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen),
but many Islamists view it as a civil code:
⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance”
⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
12. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen),
but many Islamists view it as a civil code:
⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance”
⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations
Ibn Rushd and Ibn Khaldun sought social justice in “legal justice”
There is no “Islamic theory of justice” (is one needed?)
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
13. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
14. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals)
Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.)
Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent
Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment
Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments
Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
15. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals)
Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.)
Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent
Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment
Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments
Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need
Many emphasized former 1940s–70s, most emphasized latter
mid-1970s onwards, all claiming to define a “middle way”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
16. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 10 of 30
17. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Neoliberalism – Strong Support Countries (Pew 2012)
Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality?
Country
FrancePolandItalyLebanonBritainIndiaGermanyTurkeyUnitedStatesBrazilChina
Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Disagree
58 %
52 %
49 %
57 %
56 %
39 %
53 %
39 %
50 %
52 %
46 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 11 of 30
18. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Neoliberalism – Mild to Weak Support Countries
Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality?
Country
MexicoJapanJordanGreeceSpainCzechRepublicEgyptTunisiaRussiaPakistan
Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree
39 % 26 %
42 % 32 %
30 %
26 % 26 % 28 %
40 % 34 %
37 % 38 %
36 % 33 %
32 % 35 %
33 % 48 %
43 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 12 of 30
19. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Anti-Secularism (Pew 2012) – Laws Should Follow Qur
˘
¯an?
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
Country
LebanonTurkeyTunisiaEgyptJordanPakistan
Strictly Principles No
84 %
73 % 26 %
61 % 33 %
65 %
51 % 30 %
38 % 45 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 13 of 30
20. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Anti-Secularism (WVS, Waves 1–5) – Only “Shar¯ı
˘
a” Law?
Only Laws of the Shari‘a
Country
BanglIndonesiaIraqNigeriaIranPakistanAlgeriaJordanEgyptSaudi
S. Agree Agree Neutral DisS. Dis
69 %
47 % 34 %
54 %
37 % 35 %
36 % 31 %
32 %
41 %
31 %
36 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 14 of 30
21. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 15 of 30
22. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secularism & Egalitarianism (Pew 2012)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
Democracy:ImportantToHaveSmallIncomeDifferencesBetweenRichandPoor?
NotNottooimpSomewhatImportantVeryImportant
Strictly Principles No
34 % 7 %
33 % 15 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 16 of 30
23. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secularism vs. Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles OnlyNo Influence
9 %
22 % 9 %
25 % 10 %
17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 17 of 30
24. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secualrism & Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Democracy = Tax Rich, Subsidize Poor
Democracy=ReligiousAuthoritiesInterprettheLaw
essential98765432~ess
~ess 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential
6 %
42 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 18 of 30
25. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Inequality (ok) & Private/Public (mixed) (WVS 2008)
Strong Immediate Relationship, but Mixed
More Private or Public Ownership?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
More Private 2 3 4 5 67 8 9 More Public
11 %
5 %
12 % 17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 19 of 30
27. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Reject independence between two variables (E035 & E224): χ2
(81) = 429.6, but
fail to reject conditional (on importance of free elections E226) independence: χ2
(1100) = 708.52
Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
Not Ess 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Essential
15 %
10 %
27 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 21 of 30
29. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Reject independence between two variables (E036 & E224): χ2
(100) = 439.7, but
fail to reject conditional (on E226, free elections) independence: χ2
(1100) = 752.5
Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
Not Ess2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Essential
5 %
5 %
6 %
8 %
5 %
17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 23 of 30
30. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Inequality and Private Ownership OK (WVS 2008)
How Much is the Preference for "More Public" A Reaction to Corrupt Privatization?
More Private or Public Ownership?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
More Private2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 More Public
11 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 24 of 30
31. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: ...Despite Strong Anti-Secularism and Redistributive
Drive (WVS 2008)
Democracy = Religious Authorities Interpret Law
Democracy=TaxRich,SubsidizePoor
essential98765432~ess
~ess 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential
39 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 25 of 30
32. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism(Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
15 % 10 %
16 % 9 %
16 % 9 %
13 % 6 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 26 of 30
33. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Tunisia: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
15 %
8 % 17 %
16 %
16 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 27 of 30
34. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Lebanon: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& less Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
11 % 11 %
7 % 13 % 19 %
9 % 8 %
7 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 28 of 30
35. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Turkey: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
C.DisagreeMostlyDisagreeMostlyAgreeCompletelyAgree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No
8 %
12 % 26 % 19 %
10 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 29 of 30
36. Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Concluding Remarks
There is no “Islamic Economics” or “Islamic theory of justice.”
It is not clear that either is possible or necessary
There is a consistent egalitarian streak in Islamic history and
thought; mostly implemented through post-hoc redistribution
Overall, Muslim societies are likely to accept neoliberal economic
policies, with greater emphasis on and scope of redistribution
Each country’s Islamist-egalitarian nexus depends on her history
and current (political) interpretations of “justice,” which have
implications for viability of various policy “reforms”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 30 of 30