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Social Justice
Data Analysis
Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal
Rice University
Department of Economics
March 23, 2014
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 0 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 1 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Motivational Puzzle
New Washington Consensus: Utilitarianism + social safety nets
⇒ Grounded in 20th
-Century liberal theories of justice (Rawls + Sen)
Had been implemented de facto, if only to avoid social unrest
Puzzle: Egypt and Tunisia, apparently successful, erupted,
demanding “Social Justice!”
Does “Islam”(ism) reject Rawls-type conceptions of social justice?
First clue: Revolutionaries were not poor, they were middle class!
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 2 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Poor Have Not Fared Too Badly in MENA
Ratio of Top Decile and Bottom Decile Shares in GDP
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Turkey
Korea
Egypt
Algeria
Morocco
Jordan
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 3 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Middle Classes Have Not Fared Too Well in MENA
Ratio of Top Decile and Fifth Decile Shares in GDP
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Egypt
Turkey
Jordan
Morocco
Algeria
Korea
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 4 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 5 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle on Distributive Justice
Book V of Nicomachean Ethics:
...and the just here is a middle term, whereas the unjust is
what is contrary to the proportion, for the proportion is a
middle term and the just is a proportion. The
mathematicians call this sort of proportion “geometric.”
...as a farmer stands in relation to a shoemaker, so the work
of the shoemaker stands in relation to that of the farmer. But
one must not bring the works into the figure of the
proportion after they have been exchanged ...
Second clue: Were the middle classes not getting their “fair share?”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 6 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto
Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only
Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid):
Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined
by the ratio of monetary values of different goods...
As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight,
equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous
...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or
weight, since the benefits are very similar.
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto
Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only
Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid):
Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined
by the ratio of monetary values of different goods...
As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight,
equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous
...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or
weight, since the benefits are very similar.
Is it too much to read Pareto efficiency in this “benefit” analysis?
1/quantity ratio = price ratio = ratio of [marginal?] benefits
No distributive justice considerations (Aristotelian merit)?
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen),
but many Islamists view it as a civil code:
⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance”
⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics
Posner:
Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather
than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions.
Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig
beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of
which may turn out to have an economic character
Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen),
but many Islamists view it as a civil code:
⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance”
⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations
Ibn Rushd and Ibn Khaldun sought social justice in “legal justice”
There is no “Islamic theory of justice” (is one needed?)
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals)
Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.)
Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent
Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment
Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments
Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice”
Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a
˘
¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...)
Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some
expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries
More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr,
˘
Ali) preferred over unequal
distribution by merit (
˘
Umar,
˘
Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...)
Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings
Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals)
Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.)
Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent
Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment
Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments
Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need
Many emphasized former 1940s–70s, most emphasized latter
mid-1970s onwards, all claiming to define a “middle way”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 10 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Neoliberalism – Strong Support Countries (Pew 2012)
Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality?
Country
FrancePolandItalyLebanonBritainIndiaGermanyTurkeyUnitedStatesBrazilChina
Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Disagree
58 %
52 %
49 %
57 %
56 %
39 %
53 %
39 %
50 %
52 %
46 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 11 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Neoliberalism – Mild to Weak Support Countries
Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality?
Country
MexicoJapanJordanGreeceSpainCzechRepublicEgyptTunisiaRussiaPakistan
Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree
39 % 26 %
42 % 32 %
30 %
26 % 26 % 28 %
40 % 34 %
37 % 38 %
36 % 33 %
32 % 35 %
33 % 48 %
43 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 12 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Anti-Secularism (Pew 2012) – Laws Should Follow Qur
˘
¯an?
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
Country
LebanonTurkeyTunisiaEgyptJordanPakistan
Strictly Principles No
84 %
73 % 26 %
61 % 33 %
65 %
51 % 30 %
38 % 45 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 13 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Anti-Secularism (WVS, Waves 1–5) – Only “Shar¯ı
˘
a” Law?
Only Laws of the Shari‘a
Country
BanglIndonesiaIraqNigeriaIranPakistanAlgeriaJordanEgyptSaudi
S. Agree Agree Neutral DisS. Dis
69 %
47 % 34 %
54 %
37 % 35 %
36 % 31 %
32 %
41 %
31 %
36 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 14 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Outline
1 Social Justice
Safety Nets Are Not Enough?
Justice in Philosophy & Islam
2 Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 15 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secularism & Egalitarianism (Pew 2012)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
Democracy:ImportantToHaveSmallIncomeDifferencesBetweenRichandPoor?
NotNottooimpSomewhatImportantVeryImportant
Strictly Principles No
34 % 7 %
33 % 15 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 16 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secularism vs. Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles OnlyNo Influence
9 %
22 % 9 %
25 % 10 %
17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 17 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Anti-Secualrism & Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Democracy = Tax Rich, Subsidize Poor
Democracy=ReligiousAuthoritiesInterprettheLaw
essential98765432~ess
~ess 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential
6 %
42 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 18 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Inequality (ok) & Private/Public (mixed) (WVS 2008)
Strong Immediate Relationship, but Mixed
More Private or Public Ownership?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
More Private 2 3 4 5 67 8 9 More Public
11 %
5 %
12 % 17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 19 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Conditional Independence (WVS 2008)
Estimated Bayesian Network (formal statistical test of conditional independence on next slide)
a001
a002
a003
a004
a005
a006
a008
a009
a104
a106a124.02
a124.03
a124.06
a124.07
a124.08
a124.09
a124.12
a124.14
a124.42
a124.43
a165
a168a
a170
a173
a189
a190
a191
a192
a193
a194
a195
a196
a197
a198
b001
b002
b003
b008
b018
b019
b020
b021
b022
b023
c001
c002
c006
c009
c010
c036
c037
c038 c039
c041
c059
d001
d022
d055
d060
d078
e001
e002
e003
e004
e005
e006
e012
e016
e018
e023
e025
e025b
e026
e026b
e027
e033
e035
e036
e037
e039
e040
e041
e069.01
e069.02
e069.03
e069.04
e069.05
e069.06
e069.07
e069.08
e069.10
e069.11
e069.12
e069.13
e069.14
e069.15e069.17
e069.20
e069.40
e069.51
e114
e115
e116
e117
e124
e135
e136
e137
e138
e139
e143
e217
e218
e219
e220
e221b
e224
e225
e226
e227
e228
e229
e230
e231
e232
e233
e234
e235
e236
e237
e238
e239
e240
e241
e247
e248
e249
e250
e251
e252
e253
e254
e255
f001
f025
f028
f034
f035
f036
f037
f038
f102
f103 f104
f105
f114
f115
f116
f118
f119
f120
f121
f198
f199
g007.18
g007.33
g007.34
g007.35
g007.36
g015
g019
g020
g022n
g023
g028
g029
g030
g031
g032
x001
x007
x011
x023r
x024
x025r
x026
x031
x040
x041
x044
x045
x052
x053
x054
x055
y002
y003
tradrat5
survself
Redistribution
Anti-Secularism
Income Inequality
Public vs. Private
Ownership
Competition
Hard Work
Government Role
Wealth Accumulation
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 20 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Jordan: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Reject independence between two variables (E035 & E224): χ2
(81) = 429.6, but
fail to reject conditional (on importance of free elections E226) independence: χ2
(1100) = 708.52
Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
Not Ess 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Essential
15 %
10 %
27 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 21 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Conditional Independence (WVS 2008)
a001
a002
a003
a004
a005
a006
a008
a009
a104
a165
a168a
a170
a173
a189
a190
a191
a192
a193
a194a195
a196
a197
a198
b001
b002
b003
b008
b018
b019
b020
b021
b022
b023
c001
c002
c006
c009
c010
c036
c037
c038
c039
c041
c059
d001
d055
d060
d078
e001
e002
e003
e004
e005
e006
e012
e016
e018
e023
e025
e026
e027
e033
e035
e036
e037
e039
e040
e041
e069.04
e069.05
e069.08
e069.10
e069.13
e069.14
e069.15
e069.20
e069.21
e069.40
e114
e115
e116
e117
e135
e136 e137
e138e139
e143
e179
e180
e182
e217
e218
e219
e220
e224
e225
e226
e227
e228
e229
e230
e231
e232
e233
e234
e235
e237
e238
e239
e240
e241
e247
e248
e249 e250
e251
e252
e253
e254
e255
e257
f001
f025
f028
f034
f035
f036
f037
f038
f114
f115
f116
f121
f198
g007.18
g007.33
g007.34
g007.35
g007.36
g019
g020
g023
g028
g029
g030
g031
g032
x001
x007
x011
x023r
x024
x025r
x026x028
x031
x040
x041
x044
x045
x047
x052
x053
x054
x055
y002
y003
Public vs. Private Ownership
Income Inequality
Government Responsibility
Competition
Hard Work
Wealth Accumulation
Redistribute
Anti-
Secular
Political Scale Position
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 22 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008)
Reject independence between two variables (E036 & E224): χ2
(100) = 439.7, but
fail to reject conditional (on E226, free elections) independence: χ2
(1100) = 752.5
Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
Not Ess2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Essential
5 %
5 %
6 %
8 %
5 %
17 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 23 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Inequality and Private Ownership OK (WVS 2008)
How Much is the Preference for "More Public" A Reaction to Corrupt Privatization?
More Private or Public Ownership?
MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess?
MoreInequality98765432LessInequality
More Private2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 More Public
11 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 24 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: ...Despite Strong Anti-Secularism and Redistributive
Drive (WVS 2008)
Democracy = Religious Authorities Interpret Law
Democracy=TaxRich,SubsidizePoor
essential98765432~ess
~ess 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential
39 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 25 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Egypt: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism(Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
15 % 10 %
16 % 9 %
16 % 9 %
13 % 6 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 26 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Tunisia: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
15 %
8 % 17 %
16 %
16 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 27 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Lebanon: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& less Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence
11 % 11 %
7 % 13 % 19 %
9 % 8 %
7 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 28 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Turkey: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012)
No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism)
Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran?
MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality?
C.DisagreeMostlyDisagreeMostlyAgreeCompletelyAgree
Strictly Values & Principles Only No
8 %
12 % 26 % 19 %
10 %
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 29 of 30
Social Justice
Data Analysis
Islamism and Neoliberalism
The Many Faces of Islamism
Concluding Remarks
There is no “Islamic Economics” or “Islamic theory of justice.”
It is not clear that either is possible or necessary
There is a consistent egalitarian streak in Islamic history and
thought; mostly implemented through post-hoc redistribution
Overall, Muslim societies are likely to accept neoliberal economic
policies, with greater emphasis on and scope of redistribution
Each country’s Islamist-egalitarian nexus depends on her history
and current (political) interpretations of “justice,” which have
implications for viability of various policy “reforms”
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 30 of 30

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Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and social justice

  • 1. Social Justice Data Analysis Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice Mahmoud A. El-Gamal Rice University Department of Economics March 23, 2014 Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 0 of 30
  • 2. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Outline 1 Social Justice Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam 2 Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 1 of 30
  • 3. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Motivational Puzzle New Washington Consensus: Utilitarianism + social safety nets ⇒ Grounded in 20th -Century liberal theories of justice (Rawls + Sen) Had been implemented de facto, if only to avoid social unrest Puzzle: Egypt and Tunisia, apparently successful, erupted, demanding “Social Justice!” Does “Islam”(ism) reject Rawls-type conceptions of social justice? First clue: Revolutionaries were not poor, they were middle class! Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 2 of 30
  • 4. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam The Poor Have Not Fared Too Badly in MENA Ratio of Top Decile and Bottom Decile Shares in GDP 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Turkey Korea Egypt Algeria Morocco Jordan Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 3 of 30
  • 5. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam The Middle Classes Have Not Fared Too Well in MENA Ratio of Top Decile and Fifth Decile Shares in GDP 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Egypt Turkey Jordan Morocco Algeria Korea Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 4 of 30
  • 6. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Outline 1 Social Justice Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam 2 Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 5 of 30
  • 7. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Aristotle on Distributive Justice Book V of Nicomachean Ethics: ...and the just here is a middle term, whereas the unjust is what is contrary to the proportion, for the proportion is a middle term and the just is a proportion. The mathematicians call this sort of proportion “geometric.” ...as a farmer stands in relation to a shoemaker, so the work of the shoemaker stands in relation to that of the farmer. But one must not bring the works into the figure of the proportion after they have been exchanged ... Second clue: Were the middle classes not getting their “fair share?” Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 6 of 30
  • 8. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid): Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined by the ratio of monetary values of different goods... As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight, equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous ...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or weight, since the benefits are very similar. Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
  • 9. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Aristotle, Averroes, ...Pareto Aristotle proposed a labor theory of value for initial exchange only Ibn Rushd (Bid¯ayat Al-Mujtahid): Thus, the ratio of exchanged quantities will be determined by the ratio of monetary values of different goods... As for [fungible] goods measured by volume or weight, equity requires equality, since they are relatively homogenous ...justice in this case is achieved by equating volume or weight, since the benefits are very similar. Is it too much to read Pareto efficiency in this “benefit” analysis? 1/quantity ratio = price ratio = ratio of [marginal?] benefits No distributive justice considerations (Aristotelian merit)? Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 7 of 30
  • 10. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics Posner: Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions. Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of which may turn out to have an economic character Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
  • 11. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics Posner: Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions. Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of which may turn out to have an economic character Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen), but many Islamists view it as a civil code: ⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance” ⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
  • 12. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam The Primacy of Law I: Islamic Law and Economics Posner: Often, the true grounds of legal decision are concealed rather than illuminated by the characteristic rhetoric of opinions. Indeed, legal education consists primarily of learning to dig beneath the rhetorical surface to find those grounds, many of which may turn out to have an economic character Islamic jurisprudence has been a common law system (Rosen), but many Islamists view it as a civil code: ⇒ Legal arbitrage opportunities, such as so-called “Islamic finance” ⇒ Circumvents ancient (efficiency-enhancing) regulations Ibn Rushd and Ibn Khaldun sought social justice in “legal justice” There is no “Islamic theory of justice” (is one needed?) Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 8 of 30
  • 13. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice” Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a ˘ ¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...) Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr, ˘ Ali) preferred over unequal distribution by merit ( ˘ Umar, ˘ Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...) Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
  • 14. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice” Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a ˘ ¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...) Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr, ˘ Ali) preferred over unequal distribution by merit ( ˘ Umar, ˘ Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...) Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals) Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.) Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
  • 15. Social Justice Data Analysis Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam Primacy of Law II: Modern Islamic Interpretations of “Justice” Socialist-leaning interpretations: (Al-Sib¯a ˘ ¯ı; El-Ghaz¯al¯ı; ...) Public ownership of basic necessities (water, pastures, fire) + some expropriation extrapolated to nationalization of essential industries More equitable distribution (Abu-Bakr, ˘ Ali) preferred over unequal distribution by merit ( ˘ Umar, ˘ Uthman); + (T. Hussein, S. Qut.b,...) Some price fixing justified by anti-monopoly rulings Libertarian-leaning interpretations: (jurists & most intellectuals) Same basic rules for initial acquisition of property (fallow land, etc.) Broad permission of transfer of property by mutual consent Public ownership is an exception; expropriation was punishment Accepting inequality in human and physical capital endowments Reject price fixing, absent monopoly or need Many emphasized former 1940s–70s, most emphasized latter mid-1970s onwards, all claiming to define a “middle way” Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 9 of 30
  • 16. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Outline 1 Social Justice Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam 2 Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 10 of 30
  • 17. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Neoliberalism – Strong Support Countries (Pew 2012) Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality? Country FrancePolandItalyLebanonBritainIndiaGermanyTurkeyUnitedStatesBrazilChina Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Disagree 58 % 52 % 49 % 57 % 56 % 39 % 53 % 39 % 50 % 52 % 46 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 11 of 30
  • 18. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Neoliberalism – Mild to Weak Support Countries Most Better Off In Free−Market Economy Despite Inequality? Country MexicoJapanJordanGreeceSpainCzechRepublicEgyptTunisiaRussiaPakistan Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree 39 % 26 % 42 % 32 % 30 % 26 % 26 % 28 % 40 % 34 % 37 % 38 % 36 % 33 % 32 % 35 % 33 % 48 % 43 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 12 of 30
  • 19. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Anti-Secularism (Pew 2012) – Laws Should Follow Qur ˘ ¯an? Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? Country LebanonTurkeyTunisiaEgyptJordanPakistan Strictly Principles No 84 % 73 % 26 % 61 % 33 % 65 % 51 % 30 % 38 % 45 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 13 of 30
  • 20. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Anti-Secularism (WVS, Waves 1–5) – Only “Shar¯ı ˘ a” Law? Only Laws of the Shari‘a Country BanglIndonesiaIraqNigeriaIranPakistanAlgeriaJordanEgyptSaudi S. Agree Agree Neutral DisS. Dis 69 % 47 % 34 % 54 % 37 % 35 % 36 % 31 % 32 % 41 % 31 % 36 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 14 of 30
  • 21. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Outline 1 Social Justice Safety Nets Are Not Enough? Justice in Philosophy & Islam 2 Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 15 of 30
  • 22. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Anti-Secularism & Egalitarianism (Pew 2012) Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? Democracy:ImportantToHaveSmallIncomeDifferencesBetweenRichandPoor? NotNottooimpSomewhatImportantVeryImportant Strictly Principles No 34 % 7 % 33 % 15 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 16 of 30
  • 23. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Anti-Secularism vs. Neoliberalism (Pew 2012) Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality? CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree Strictly Values & Principles OnlyNo Influence 9 % 22 % 9 % 25 % 10 % 17 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 17 of 30
  • 24. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Anti-Secualrism & Redistribution (WVS 2008) Democracy = Tax Rich, Subsidize Poor Democracy=ReligiousAuthoritiesInterprettheLaw essential98765432~ess ~ess 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential 6 % 42 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 18 of 30
  • 25. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Inequality (ok) & Private/Public (mixed) (WVS 2008) Strong Immediate Relationship, but Mixed More Private or Public Ownership? MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess? MoreInequality98765432LessInequality More Private 2 3 4 5 67 8 9 More Public 11 % 5 % 12 % 17 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 19 of 30
  • 26. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Conditional Independence (WVS 2008) Estimated Bayesian Network (formal statistical test of conditional independence on next slide) a001 a002 a003 a004 a005 a006 a008 a009 a104 a106a124.02 a124.03 a124.06 a124.07 a124.08 a124.09 a124.12 a124.14 a124.42 a124.43 a165 a168a a170 a173 a189 a190 a191 a192 a193 a194 a195 a196 a197 a198 b001 b002 b003 b008 b018 b019 b020 b021 b022 b023 c001 c002 c006 c009 c010 c036 c037 c038 c039 c041 c059 d001 d022 d055 d060 d078 e001 e002 e003 e004 e005 e006 e012 e016 e018 e023 e025 e025b e026 e026b e027 e033 e035 e036 e037 e039 e040 e041 e069.01 e069.02 e069.03 e069.04 e069.05 e069.06 e069.07 e069.08 e069.10 e069.11 e069.12 e069.13 e069.14 e069.15e069.17 e069.20 e069.40 e069.51 e114 e115 e116 e117 e124 e135 e136 e137 e138 e139 e143 e217 e218 e219 e220 e221b e224 e225 e226 e227 e228 e229 e230 e231 e232 e233 e234 e235 e236 e237 e238 e239 e240 e241 e247 e248 e249 e250 e251 e252 e253 e254 e255 f001 f025 f028 f034 f035 f036 f037 f038 f102 f103 f104 f105 f114 f115 f116 f118 f119 f120 f121 f198 f199 g007.18 g007.33 g007.34 g007.35 g007.36 g015 g019 g020 g022n g023 g028 g029 g030 g031 g032 x001 x007 x011 x023r x024 x025r x026 x031 x040 x041 x044 x045 x052 x053 x054 x055 y002 y003 tradrat5 survself Redistribution Anti-Secularism Income Inequality Public vs. Private Ownership Competition Hard Work Government Role Wealth Accumulation Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 20 of 30
  • 27. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Jordan: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008) Reject independence between two variables (E035 & E224): χ2 (81) = 429.6, but fail to reject conditional (on importance of free elections E226) independence: χ2 (1100) = 708.52 Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor? MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess? MoreInequality98765432LessInequality Not Ess 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 Essential 15 % 10 % 27 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 21 of 30
  • 28. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Egypt: Conditional Independence (WVS 2008) a001 a002 a003 a004 a005 a006 a008 a009 a104 a165 a168a a170 a173 a189 a190 a191 a192 a193 a194a195 a196 a197 a198 b001 b002 b003 b008 b018 b019 b020 b021 b022 b023 c001 c002 c006 c009 c010 c036 c037 c038 c039 c041 c059 d001 d055 d060 d078 e001 e002 e003 e004 e005 e006 e012 e016 e018 e023 e025 e026 e027 e033 e035 e036 e037 e039 e040 e041 e069.04 e069.05 e069.08 e069.10 e069.13 e069.14 e069.15 e069.20 e069.21 e069.40 e114 e115 e116 e117 e135 e136 e137 e138e139 e143 e179 e180 e182 e217 e218 e219 e220 e224 e225 e226 e227 e228 e229 e230 e231 e232 e233 e234 e235 e237 e238 e239 e240 e241 e247 e248 e249 e250 e251 e252 e253 e254 e255 e257 f001 f025 f028 f034 f035 f036 f037 f038 f114 f115 f116 f121 f198 g007.18 g007.33 g007.34 g007.35 g007.36 g019 g020 g023 g028 g029 g030 g031 g032 x001 x007 x011 x023r x024 x025r x026x028 x031 x040 x041 x044 x045 x047 x052 x053 x054 x055 y002 y003 Public vs. Private Ownership Income Inequality Government Responsibility Competition Hard Work Wealth Accumulation Redistribute Anti- Secular Political Scale Position Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 22 of 30
  • 29. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Egypt: Inequality and Redistribution (WVS 2008) Reject independence between two variables (E036 & E224): χ2 (100) = 439.7, but fail to reject conditional (on E226, free elections) independence: χ2 (1100) = 752.5 Democracy: Tax Rich and Subsidize Poor? MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess? MoreInequality98765432LessInequality Not Ess2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Essential 5 % 5 % 6 % 8 % 5 % 17 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 23 of 30
  • 30. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Egypt: Inequality and Private Ownership OK (WVS 2008) How Much is the Preference for "More Public" A Reaction to Corrupt Privatization? More Private or Public Ownership? MoreIncomeInequality(forincentive)orLess? MoreInequality98765432LessInequality More Private2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 More Public 11 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 24 of 30
  • 31. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Egypt: ...Despite Strong Anti-Secularism and Redistributive Drive (WVS 2008) Democracy = Religious Authorities Interpret Law Democracy=TaxRich,SubsidizePoor essential98765432~ess ~ess 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 essential 39 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 25 of 30
  • 32. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Egypt: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism(Pew 2012) No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality? CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence 15 % 10 % 16 % 9 % 16 % 9 % 13 % 6 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 26 of 30
  • 33. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Tunisia: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012) No Clear Relationship + Nearly 50–50 Split on Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism) Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality? CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence 15 % 8 % 17 % 16 % 16 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 27 of 30
  • 34. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Lebanon: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012) No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& less Islamism) Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality? CompletelydisagreeMostlydisagreeMostlyagreeCompletelyagree Strictly Values & Principles Only No Influence 11 % 11 % 7 % 13 % 19 % 9 % 8 % 7 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 28 of 30
  • 35. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Turkey: Anti-Secularism and Neoliberalism (Pew 2012) No Clear Relationship + Mostly Favorable to Neoliberalism (& more moderate Islamism) Laws Should Follow the Teachings of the Quran? MostBetterOffInFree−MarketEconomyDespiteInequality? C.DisagreeMostlyDisagreeMostlyAgreeCompletelyAgree Strictly Values & Principles Only No 8 % 12 % 26 % 19 % 10 % Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 29 of 30
  • 36. Social Justice Data Analysis Islamism and Neoliberalism The Many Faces of Islamism Concluding Remarks There is no “Islamic Economics” or “Islamic theory of justice.” It is not clear that either is possible or necessary There is a consistent egalitarian streak in Islamic history and thought; mostly implemented through post-hoc redistribution Overall, Muslim societies are likely to accept neoliberal economic policies, with greater emphasis on and scope of redistribution Each country’s Islamist-egalitarian nexus depends on her history and current (political) interpretations of “justice,” which have implications for viability of various policy “reforms” Mahmoud A. El-Gamal – ERF Talk, March 23, 2014 Neoliberalism, Islam(ism) and Social Justice — slide 30 of 30