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Trends in
Advertising
      Dr. Augustine Fou
      http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
      November 15, 2012.
UPDATE: April 16, 2013




                     Source: IAB 2012 Advertising Report
November 15, 2012.                                         2
Time Spent with Media
From Traditional to Digital
                                 Television is 42%
                                 Online is 38%




      Source: IAB and Business
      Insider Oct 2012


November 15, 2012.                                   4
From CPM to Performance




                    Source: IAB, PwC April 2011
November 15, 2012                                 5
Facebook reach already larger
          Burberry                            12.6M    8.4M                    Once Upon A Time
               Dior                            7.8M    8.5M                    Desperate Housewives
             Gucci                             7.6M    8.6M                    Rules of Engagement
     Louis Vuitton                             7.3M    8.9M                    Touch
            Chanel                             6.5M    9.5M                    CSI: NY
  Dolce & Gabbana                              5.3M    9.7M                    Body Of Proof
      Ralph Lauren                             4.9M   10.0M                    SURVIVOR: ONE WORLD
       Calvin Klein                            4.0M   10.1M                    60 Minutes
             Coach                             3.3M   10.5M                    Unforgettable
            Armani                             3.1M   10.7M                    Blue Bloods
              Prada                            1.7M   12.0M                    The Voice
              Fendi                            1.6M   14.0M                    Big Bang Theory
           Versace                             0.8M   14.6M                    Person Of Interest
            Cartier                            0.7M   18.0M                    Dancing with the Stars
           Hermes                              0.6M   18.6M                    NCIS

               Source: Facebook, April 2012                   Source: TVByTheNumbers, April 2012



… than many top TV Shows
November 15, 2012                                                                                       6
Facebook reach already larger
            Burberry                           12.6M   1.0M                      Marie Claire
                 Dior                           7.8M   1.0M                      GQ
               Gucci                            7.6M   1.1M                      Lucky
       Louis Vuitton                            7.3M   1.1M                      Elle
              Chanel                            6.5M   1.2M                      Vanity Fair
    Dolce & Gabbana                             5.3M   1.3M                      Vogue
        Ralph Lauren                            4.9M   1.5M                      Self
         Calvin Klein                           4.0M   1.5M                      Fitness
               Coach                            3.3M   1.6M                      Shape
              Armani                            3.1M   1.7M                      InStyle
                Prada                           1.7M   2.0M                      Real Simple
                Fendi                           1.6M   2.0M                      Seventeen
             Versace                            0.8M   2.4M                      Glamour
              Cartier                           0.7M   3.0M                      Cosmopolitan
             Hermes                             0.6M   3.6M                      People
                Source: Facebook, April 2012                  Source: Wikipedia, 2H 2011



       … than all top magazines
November 15, 2012                                                                               7
Future of Advertising
 “Soup and Soda”                         “Cars and Computers”
       branding                           performance
2012 - $107B
       Television ($70B, 2012)            Digital ($37B, 2012)
        55%                     45%        22%          46%       32%
      Broadcast             Cable        Display       Search     Other
                                        (Facebook)     (Google)
 2016E - $104B
     Television ($61B, 2016E)         Digital ($43B, 2016E)
         51%            49%              42%            49%       9%
       Broadcast        Cable         Branding       Performance Other
                                       (Facebook)      (Google)
Trend Commentary
   • Overall ad market will shrink because digital introduces
     new efficiencies into the system, so fewer dollars are need to
     achieve the same effect
   • Awareness ad dollars will always exist, but awareness
     spending will shift to digital channels – e.g.
     Facebook, because of its massive reach and better targeting
     (than TV, print, etc.)
   • The general trend is from impression based advertising
     towards performance; small-ticket, low consideration
     products (e.g. soda, cpg) will remain on the left side
     (awareness) while big-ticket, high consideration products will
     tend towards the right (performance)
November 15, 2012.                                                    9
So What?
     “Even awareness ad dollars will shift
     online to places like Facebook where
     performance can be better measured;
     the rest of digital will continue trend
     towards performance and pay per
     action – e.g. search.”
                            - Dr. Augustine Fou
November 15, 2012                                 10
Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist
  “I show clients how they need to
  evolve their advertising and
  marketing in the new digital
  world.”
  FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM)
  MCKINSEY CONSULTANT
  CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE
  PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST
  ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER
  PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23


  ClickZ Articles: http://www.clickz.com/author/1151/augustine-fou
  Slideshares: http://www.slideshare.net/augustinefou
  LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou

November 15, 2012                                                                       11
                                                                     acfou@mktsci.com
APPENDIX

November 15, 2012.   12
Percent of Budgets in Digital




                     Source: eMarketer Feb 2012
November 15, 2012.                                13
Total Ad Spending by Share


         Source: eMarketer, Dec 2012
Top Spending by Industry

        Top U.S. Advertising Verticals
        Automotive
        Fast Food / QSR Restaurants
        Automotive Dealership
        Wireless / Telecommunications
        Retail
        Motion Picture / Movies
        Pharmaceuticals


             Source: Marketing Charts, Dec 2012
Global Ad Spend Growth by
Sector




          Source: Marketing Charts, Nov 2012
Marketers to DECREASE

                    Source:
                    http://www.marketingcharts.com/wp/television/marketer
                    s-say-theyre-shifting-focus-away-from-traditional-
                    media-26578/




November 15, 2012                                                           17
U.S. Online Exceeds Print




November 15, 2012           18
Omnicom (NYSE:OMC)




November 15, 2012    19
MDC Partners (NASD:MDCA)




November 15, 2012          20
WPP (NASD:WPPGY)




November 15, 2012   21
Publicis (PINK:PUBGY)




November 15, 2012       22
Interpublic (NYSE:IPG)




November 15, 2012        23

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Trends in Advertising by Augustine Fou Chief Digital Strategist

  • 1. Trends in Advertising Dr. Augustine Fou http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou November 15, 2012.
  • 2. UPDATE: April 16, 2013 Source: IAB 2012 Advertising Report November 15, 2012. 2
  • 4. From Traditional to Digital Television is 42% Online is 38% Source: IAB and Business Insider Oct 2012 November 15, 2012. 4
  • 5. From CPM to Performance Source: IAB, PwC April 2011 November 15, 2012 5
  • 6. Facebook reach already larger Burberry 12.6M 8.4M Once Upon A Time Dior 7.8M 8.5M Desperate Housewives Gucci 7.6M 8.6M Rules of Engagement Louis Vuitton 7.3M 8.9M Touch Chanel 6.5M 9.5M CSI: NY Dolce & Gabbana 5.3M 9.7M Body Of Proof Ralph Lauren 4.9M 10.0M SURVIVOR: ONE WORLD Calvin Klein 4.0M 10.1M 60 Minutes Coach 3.3M 10.5M Unforgettable Armani 3.1M 10.7M Blue Bloods Prada 1.7M 12.0M The Voice Fendi 1.6M 14.0M Big Bang Theory Versace 0.8M 14.6M Person Of Interest Cartier 0.7M 18.0M Dancing with the Stars Hermes 0.6M 18.6M NCIS Source: Facebook, April 2012 Source: TVByTheNumbers, April 2012 … than many top TV Shows November 15, 2012 6
  • 7. Facebook reach already larger Burberry 12.6M 1.0M Marie Claire Dior 7.8M 1.0M GQ Gucci 7.6M 1.1M Lucky Louis Vuitton 7.3M 1.1M Elle Chanel 6.5M 1.2M Vanity Fair Dolce & Gabbana 5.3M 1.3M Vogue Ralph Lauren 4.9M 1.5M Self Calvin Klein 4.0M 1.5M Fitness Coach 3.3M 1.6M Shape Armani 3.1M 1.7M InStyle Prada 1.7M 2.0M Real Simple Fendi 1.6M 2.0M Seventeen Versace 0.8M 2.4M Glamour Cartier 0.7M 3.0M Cosmopolitan Hermes 0.6M 3.6M People Source: Facebook, April 2012 Source: Wikipedia, 2H 2011 … than all top magazines November 15, 2012 7
  • 8. Future of Advertising “Soup and Soda” “Cars and Computers” branding performance 2012 - $107B Television ($70B, 2012) Digital ($37B, 2012) 55% 45% 22% 46% 32% Broadcast Cable Display Search Other (Facebook) (Google) 2016E - $104B Television ($61B, 2016E) Digital ($43B, 2016E) 51% 49% 42% 49% 9% Broadcast Cable Branding Performance Other (Facebook) (Google)
  • 9. Trend Commentary • Overall ad market will shrink because digital introduces new efficiencies into the system, so fewer dollars are need to achieve the same effect • Awareness ad dollars will always exist, but awareness spending will shift to digital channels – e.g. Facebook, because of its massive reach and better targeting (than TV, print, etc.) • The general trend is from impression based advertising towards performance; small-ticket, low consideration products (e.g. soda, cpg) will remain on the left side (awareness) while big-ticket, high consideration products will tend towards the right (performance) November 15, 2012. 9
  • 10. So What? “Even awareness ad dollars will shift online to places like Facebook where performance can be better measured; the rest of digital will continue trend towards performance and pay per action – e.g. search.” - Dr. Augustine Fou November 15, 2012 10
  • 11. Dr. Augustine Fou – Chief Digital Strategist “I show clients how they need to evolve their advertising and marketing in the new digital world.” FORMER CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER, HCG (OMNICOM) MCKINSEY CONSULTANT CLIENT SIDE / AGENCY SIDE EXPERIENCE PROFESSOR AND COLUMNIST ENTREPRENEUR / SMALL BUSINESS OWNER PHD MATERIALS SCIENCE (MIT '95) AT AGE 23 ClickZ Articles: http://www.clickz.com/author/1151/augustine-fou Slideshares: http://www.slideshare.net/augustinefou LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/augustinefou November 15, 2012 11 acfou@mktsci.com
  • 13. Percent of Budgets in Digital Source: eMarketer Feb 2012 November 15, 2012. 13
  • 14. Total Ad Spending by Share Source: eMarketer, Dec 2012
  • 15. Top Spending by Industry Top U.S. Advertising Verticals Automotive Fast Food / QSR Restaurants Automotive Dealership Wireless / Telecommunications Retail Motion Picture / Movies Pharmaceuticals Source: Marketing Charts, Dec 2012
  • 16. Global Ad Spend Growth by Sector Source: Marketing Charts, Nov 2012
  • 17. Marketers to DECREASE Source: http://www.marketingcharts.com/wp/television/marketer s-say-theyre-shifting-focus-away-from-traditional- media-26578/ November 15, 2012 17
  • 18. U.S. Online Exceeds Print November 15, 2012 18