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The AR Mass-Market
       Opportunity:
The Birth of a New Medium
   Claire Boonstra      Matt Miesnieks
     Co-founder      Business Development

     @claireboo        @mattmiesnieks       © 2010, Layar B.V.
A story you’ve heard before....

              Mass adoption



        New medium

New devices


                                      © 2010, Layar B.V.
1994... MultiMedia PCs




 Multimedia
  Devices
                         © 2010, Layar B.V.
1994... MultiMedia PCs
    Devices with amazing new abilities launched into a
    market fed-up with text displays & a poor UI.

•   Graphical OSs
•   Audio
•   Video
•   CD-ROM
•   Dial Up Modem
•   New User Input Methods

                                                         © 2010, Layar B.V.
1995... Rich CD-Rom Content




Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                              © 2010, Layar B.V.
1995... Rich CD-Rom Content
 •   The content was:
      • Created especially for these devices
      • Locally Executed (on the device)
      • Everything from previous medium into one place
      • Store Bought
      • Excited Advertisers
      • Controlled Environment
      • Hyped by Apple as the saviour to the current
        Media Industry!

 •   Print Medium & Business Model forced onto the PC
                                                     © 2010, Layar B.V.
1996... New Medium Gains Traction




                             New Medium
                             Gains Traction
   Multimedia   Rich Local
    Devices      Content
                                              © 2010, Layar B.V.
1996... New Medium Gains Traction
   •   Web: The New Medium for the Connected PC

   •   First websites:
        • “BrochureWare”
        • Catalog based Discovery
        • Concerns (credit card security, poor multi-media,
           low bandwidth etc)
        • Crude layouts
        • Hobbyist playground, not businesses
   •   Print Medium & Business Model forced onto the PC
                                                              © 2010, Layar B.V.
1996... Curated Eco-System




                                            Curated
                                           Eco-System

                          New Medium
                          Gains Traction
Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
1996... Curated Eco-System
    Netscape curated the entire early web eco-system:
     • Browser
     • Publishing Servers
     • Portal
     • Content Discovery
     • Standards Development
•   Provided everything needed to experience the
    medium
•   Other competitive browsers
                                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
1997... Massive Distribution




                                                           Massive
                                                         Distribution


                                             Curated
                                            Eco-System

                           New Medium
                           Gains Traction
 Multimedia   Rich Local
  Devices      Content
                                                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
1997... Massive Distribution
•   New way to sell more products
     • For Device Manufacturers & Network Providers
     • Windows PC’s with modems, dial-up access
•   Pre-Installed Browsers
•   Competitive Access Providers




                                                      © 2010, Layar B.V.
1998... Medium Specific Content



                                                                   Medium Specific
                                                                      Content



                                                          Massive
                                                        Distribution


                                            Curated
                                           Eco-System

                          New Medium
                          Gains Traction
Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                                                                                    © 2010, Layar B.V.
1998... Medium Specific Content
•   Early Investment by Leading Developers

•   Emerging Understanding of Business Models

•   Leading content investors & learners are still the
    market leaders today

•   Medium allowed content which already existed to be
    experienced in entirely new ways
       • Microsoft Encarta vs Wikipedia
                                                         © 2010, Layar B.V.
1998... Mass Market Adoption

                                                                           Mass Market
                                                                            Adoption




                                                                   Medium Specific
                                                                      Content



                                                          Massive
                                                        Distribution


                                            Curated
                                           Eco-System

                          New Medium
                          Gains Traction
Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                                                                                         © 2010, Layar B.V.
A little bit of history repeating....

              Mass adoption



        New medium

New devices


                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
2007... MultiMedia Phones




Multimedia
 Devices
                            © 2010, Layar B.V.
2007... MultiMedia Phones
   •   Amazing New Abilities
   •   Create Content
   •   Consume Content
   •   Phones Launched with
       • Graphical OSs
       • Audio
       • Video
       • Externally loaded content
       • New User Input Methods

                                     © 2010, Layar B.V.
2008... Rich App Content




Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                           © 2010, Layar B.V.
2008... Rich App Content
 •   Locally Executed
 •   Store Bought
 •   Excited Advertisers
 •   Controlled Environment
 •   Hyped by Apple!
 •   We developed new types of Content

 •   Web Content Business Models forced onto the Phone


                                                   © 2010, Layar B.V.
2009... New Medium Gains Traction




                             New Medium
                             Gains Traction
   Multimedia   Rich Local
    Devices      Content
                                              © 2010, Layar B.V.
2009... New Medium Gains Traction
    •   First AR content: “BrochureWare”
        • Upload static POI databases into AR
        • “Where Is?” services
    •   Catalog based Discovery

    •   Mobile AR: the MOBILE Medium
        • not an App or a technology
        • needs a Mobile to work.
        • only medium that uses every capability of phone
                                                            © 2010, Layar B.V.
2010... Curated Eco-System




                                            Curated
                                           Eco-System

                          New Medium
                          Gains Traction
Multimedia   Rich Local
 Devices      Content
                                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
2010... Curated Eco-System
  •   Browser
  •   Publishing Servers
  •   Portal
  •   Content Discovery
  •   Standards Development
  •   Leading companies provided everything that users
      and companies needed to experience the medium
  •   Lots of competition in the browser space


                                                   © 2010, Layar B.V.
2010... Massive Distribution



                                                                          Massive
                                                                        Distribution



                                                           Massive
                                                         Distribution


                                             Curated
                                            Eco-System

                           New Medium
                           Gains Traction
 Multimedia   Rich Local
  Devices      Content
                                                                                       © 2010, Layar B.V.
2010... Massive Distribution
  •   Pre-Installed Browsers
  •   Competitive Access Providers
  •   2009 Layar installed on about 10% of ARphones
      via AppStore only, no marketing

  •    2010 Layar Adoption by Distribution partners
      • Samsung Global
      • LG
      • Verizon
      • Sprint
      • many more to be announced
                                                      © 2010, Layar B.V.
Massive Distribution Growth

  • AR-capable phone growth
   • 10m in 2009
   • 180m in 2010
   • 400m in 2011
   • 1.3B by 2013

   Source: Gartner, Macquarie
                                © 2010, Layar B.V.
Right Now! Medium Specific Content



                                                                       Medium Specific
                                                                          Content



                                                              Massive
                                                            Distribution


                                                Curated
                                               Eco-System

                              New Medium
                              Gains Traction
    Multimedia   Rich Local
     Devices      Content
                                                                                        © 2010, Layar B.V.
Buildings you can’t see (yet)




                        Layer developed by NAi/ IN10   © 2010, Layar B.V.
Beatles Magical AR tour




                                                      © 2010, Layar B.V.
                  Layer developed by AugmentReality
Virtual Public Art Project




                    Layer developed by Superimpose/ VPAP   © 2010, Layar B.V.
Ubisoft’s Splintercell




                         © 2010, Layar B.V.
AR flashmob




             © 2010, Layar B.V.
Medium Specific Content
•   Early Investment by Leading Developers
•   Emerging Understanding of Business Models
•   Developing services -> developing Experiences
•   Learning & ongoing development
    • Developer community
    • Promoting & curating what is working
    • Payment platforms
    • Richer AR modelling
    • More interaction, sharing & engagement
    • Analytics & reporting
    • Technology consolidation
                                                    © 2010, Layar B.V.
How Soon?... Mass Market Adoption

                                                                               Mass Market
                                                                                Adoption




                                                                       Medium Specific
                                                                          Content



                                                              Massive
                                                            Distribution


                                                Curated
                                               Eco-System

                              New Medium
                              Gains Traction
    Multimedia   Rich Local
     Devices      Content
                                                                                             © 2010, Layar B.V.
Mass Market Adoption?

•   AR poised to breakout
•   Everything is in place
•   Now is the time to start developing - invest Marketing
    R&D into the Layar platform

•   Early Web Content leaders are now worth more than the
    Early Web Platform providers!


                                                             © 2010, Layar B.V.
Worlds Largest AR Community

  500+ Layers Published
  2000+ Layers in Testing
    3000 Developers
      1.6m+ Users
   #1 in Every Market except Japan (#2)
                                          © 2010, Layar B.V.
And remember...

By the end of 1993, there were 623 websites
       By mid-1994 there were 2738
 by the end of the year, more than 10,000

according to a study by MIT Researcher Matthew Gray



                                                 © 2010, Layar B.V.
Healthy Ecosystem
Layer developers are today:
          making money
          getting funded
           hiring people
    advertising their business
     building new businesses


                                 © 2010, Layar B.V.
To get involved


layar.com/create

                      © 2010, Layar B.V.
Save the date:
June 18th, 2010
  Amsterdam

Layar NEXT event
                   © 2010, Layar B.V.
Q&A

Thank You
 claire@layar.com
twitter: @claireboo

          Background image:


http://www.flickr.com/photos/kayveeinc/3900795843/

                                                    © 2010, Layar B.V.

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Layar Augmented Reality - the birth of a new medium

  • 1. The AR Mass-Market Opportunity: The Birth of a New Medium Claire Boonstra Matt Miesnieks Co-founder Business Development @claireboo @mattmiesnieks © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 2. A story you’ve heard before.... Mass adoption New medium New devices © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 3. 1994... MultiMedia PCs Multimedia Devices © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 4. 1994... MultiMedia PCs Devices with amazing new abilities launched into a market fed-up with text displays & a poor UI. • Graphical OSs • Audio • Video • CD-ROM • Dial Up Modem • New User Input Methods © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 5. 1995... Rich CD-Rom Content Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 6. 1995... Rich CD-Rom Content • The content was: • Created especially for these devices • Locally Executed (on the device) • Everything from previous medium into one place • Store Bought • Excited Advertisers • Controlled Environment • Hyped by Apple as the saviour to the current Media Industry! • Print Medium & Business Model forced onto the PC © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 7. 1996... New Medium Gains Traction New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 8. 1996... New Medium Gains Traction • Web: The New Medium for the Connected PC • First websites: • “BrochureWare” • Catalog based Discovery • Concerns (credit card security, poor multi-media, low bandwidth etc) • Crude layouts • Hobbyist playground, not businesses • Print Medium & Business Model forced onto the PC © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 9. 1996... Curated Eco-System Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 10. 1996... Curated Eco-System Netscape curated the entire early web eco-system: • Browser • Publishing Servers • Portal • Content Discovery • Standards Development • Provided everything needed to experience the medium • Other competitive browsers © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 11. 1997... Massive Distribution Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 12. 1997... Massive Distribution • New way to sell more products • For Device Manufacturers & Network Providers • Windows PC’s with modems, dial-up access • Pre-Installed Browsers • Competitive Access Providers © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 13. 1998... Medium Specific Content Medium Specific Content Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 14. 1998... Medium Specific Content • Early Investment by Leading Developers • Emerging Understanding of Business Models • Leading content investors & learners are still the market leaders today • Medium allowed content which already existed to be experienced in entirely new ways • Microsoft Encarta vs Wikipedia © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 15. 1998... Mass Market Adoption Mass Market Adoption Medium Specific Content Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 16. A little bit of history repeating.... Mass adoption New medium New devices © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 17. 2007... MultiMedia Phones Multimedia Devices © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 18. 2007... MultiMedia Phones • Amazing New Abilities • Create Content • Consume Content • Phones Launched with • Graphical OSs • Audio • Video • Externally loaded content • New User Input Methods © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 19. 2008... Rich App Content Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 20. 2008... Rich App Content • Locally Executed • Store Bought • Excited Advertisers • Controlled Environment • Hyped by Apple! • We developed new types of Content • Web Content Business Models forced onto the Phone © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 21. 2009... New Medium Gains Traction New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 22. 2009... New Medium Gains Traction • First AR content: “BrochureWare” • Upload static POI databases into AR • “Where Is?” services • Catalog based Discovery • Mobile AR: the MOBILE Medium • not an App or a technology • needs a Mobile to work. • only medium that uses every capability of phone © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 23. 2010... Curated Eco-System Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 24. 2010... Curated Eco-System • Browser • Publishing Servers • Portal • Content Discovery • Standards Development • Leading companies provided everything that users and companies needed to experience the medium • Lots of competition in the browser space © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 25. 2010... Massive Distribution Massive Distribution Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 26. 2010... Massive Distribution • Pre-Installed Browsers • Competitive Access Providers • 2009 Layar installed on about 10% of ARphones via AppStore only, no marketing • 2010 Layar Adoption by Distribution partners • Samsung Global • LG • Verizon • Sprint • many more to be announced © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 27. Massive Distribution Growth • AR-capable phone growth • 10m in 2009 • 180m in 2010 • 400m in 2011 • 1.3B by 2013 Source: Gartner, Macquarie © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 28. Right Now! Medium Specific Content Medium Specific Content Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 29. Buildings you can’t see (yet) Layer developed by NAi/ IN10 © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 30. Beatles Magical AR tour © 2010, Layar B.V. Layer developed by AugmentReality
  • 31. Virtual Public Art Project Layer developed by Superimpose/ VPAP © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 32. Ubisoft’s Splintercell © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 33. AR flashmob © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 34. Medium Specific Content • Early Investment by Leading Developers • Emerging Understanding of Business Models • Developing services -> developing Experiences • Learning & ongoing development • Developer community • Promoting & curating what is working • Payment platforms • Richer AR modelling • More interaction, sharing & engagement • Analytics & reporting • Technology consolidation © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 35. How Soon?... Mass Market Adoption Mass Market Adoption Medium Specific Content Massive Distribution Curated Eco-System New Medium Gains Traction Multimedia Rich Local Devices Content © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 36. Mass Market Adoption? • AR poised to breakout • Everything is in place • Now is the time to start developing - invest Marketing R&D into the Layar platform • Early Web Content leaders are now worth more than the Early Web Platform providers! © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 37. Worlds Largest AR Community 500+ Layers Published 2000+ Layers in Testing 3000 Developers 1.6m+ Users #1 in Every Market except Japan (#2) © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 38. And remember... By the end of 1993, there were 623 websites By mid-1994 there were 2738 by the end of the year, more than 10,000 according to a study by MIT Researcher Matthew Gray © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 39. Healthy Ecosystem Layer developers are today: making money getting funded hiring people advertising their business building new businesses © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 40. To get involved layar.com/create © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 41. Save the date: June 18th, 2010 Amsterdam Layar NEXT event © 2010, Layar B.V.
  • 42. Q&A Thank You claire@layar.com twitter: @claireboo Background image: http://www.flickr.com/photos/kayveeinc/3900795843/ © 2010, Layar B.V.