NERCOMP: Web Governance - Planning for Disruption
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Only some emerging technologies will become disruptive. Can we identify which ones? If so, how? We'll survey some current methods for: analyzing present conditions, examining trends on the horizon, spotting which might become disruptive, and preparing for the unexpected.
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NERCOMP: Web Governance - Planning for Disruption
- 1. Planning for Disruption: Governance, Strategy, and Management in a Web 3.0 World February 7, 2011 Jay Collier • jay.collier@thecompass.com bit.ly/nercomp_disruption B. S. Wise
- 2. “An act of delaying or interrupting the continuity”
- 3. “A ‘disruptive innovation’ is an innovation that transforms an existing market or sector — or creates a new one — by introducing simplicity, convenience, accessibility, reliability, and affordability”
- 4. SURVEY Most disruptive of 20th century? 40 Air travel 8% 30 Electricity 39% The Internet 38% 20 Nuclear weapons 4% 10 The Pill 3% 0 Untitled 1
- 5. SURVEY Who is most responsible? 50 Agile incumbents 13% 37.5 Early adopters 34% 25 Investors 6% 12.5 Scrappy upstarts 47% 0
- 6. SURVEY Which have been most disruptive? Proprietary systems ! Open software and standards Text interfaces ! Graphical Web browsers Landlines ! Cell phones and network access Wired modems ! Broadband and wireless networks Real-time video viewing ! Digital video recorders Centralized servers ! Peer-to-peer file sharing Expensive mainframes ! Cheap portable storage Content management ! Free blogging services Video studios ! YouTube and camcorders Local storage ! Cloud computing, accessed anywhere
- 7. The way it was ... David DeHeter
- 8. The way it was ... Luis Argerich
- 9. The way it has been ... NASA Goddard Photo and Video
- 10. The way it will be ... GE Healthcare
- 11. Vizzzual.com
- 12. docsearls
- 13. Andrew de Poda
- 14. Martin Luff
- 15. Martin Luff
- 16. • Inventory local conditions • Survey underground pressures • Evolve agile practices Assoc. Bay Area Governments
- 17. Inventory local conditions David de Hetre
- 18. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Business context Mission Statement Ford Motor Company: Values Statement We are a global family with a proud Microsoft: heritage passionately committed to providing personal mobility for honesty, Competitors/constituents We value integrity, people around the world.Amnesty International: openness, personal excellence, constructive self-criticism, SWOT Statement • UN Human Rights Commission continual self-improvement, and mutual respect. Strengths Weaknesses • Médcins Sans Frontières Expertise Location Marketing Distribution Innovative svc. Quality • Human Rights Watch Opportunities Threats International Price war Mergers Regulations
- 19. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Governance framework Marc Smith, Colin Project Perfect, Level Five Solutions
- 20. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Definitions for success 30 Lines, David Carrington, Wesley Fryer
- 21. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Current staff and budgeting structure Matthew Cua, D’Arcy Norman, Jay Collier
- 22. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Domain architecture Jay Collier
- 23. INVENTORY LOCAL CONDITIONS Tactical priorities
- 24. Survey underground pressures Stephen Jones
- 26. SURVEY EXTERNAL PRESSURES Virtual prediction markets
- 27. SURVEY EXTERNAL PRESSURES Delphi forecasting method ADOPTION WITHIN ONE YEAR Mobile computing & open content ADOPTION WITHIN THREE YEARS Electronic books & simple augmented reality ADOPTION WITHIN FIVE YEARS Gesture-based computing & visual data analysis
- 28. SURVEY EXTERNAL PRESSURES Scenario development Communications technology scenarios 2015 Digital The Wide The Long Great World of Imbrication Balkanization Open World Recession Points Nation Course management Libraries E-books Collaboration tools Scholarly communication Administrative computing Computer hardware Professional development NITLE
- 29. SURVEY EXTERNAL PRESSURES Systems approach Jay Collier, Wikipedia
- 31. Prepare for unexpected challenges San Jose Library
- 32. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 1. Monitor
- 33. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 2. Listen Pelle Sten, Tim Pierce, Kristen Wolff
- 34. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 3. Prioritize Eliatt, Jay Collier
- 35. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 4. Prototype Text
- 36. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 5. Formalize Rob Enslin, Babak Fakhamzadeh, Daniel Panev
- 37. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 6. Operationalize Robert Higgins, Perhapstoopink, UMass, EDUCAUSE
- 38. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 7. Iterate 1996 2001 2006 Wikipedia
- 39. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 8. Evaluate s Benefits (revenue, lead generation) - Costs (people, materials) = ROI Bill McChesney, TopRankBlog
- 40. PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION 9. Repeat Awareness Knowledge Selection Satisfaction Loyalty Advocacy Robin Corps
- 41. Planning for Disruption: Governance, Strategy, and Management in a Web 3.0 World bit.ly/nercomp_disruption Jay Collier • jay.collier@thecompass.com B. S. Wise