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PMI EVM Community of Practice
IPM 2011



CPM-500(D) : Implementing Technical Performance
Measures




Glen B. Alleman
DoD Programs
glen.alleman@niwotridge.com
+1 303 241 9633
Learning Objectives
TLO #9: The student will understand the role of Technical Performance Measurement
        (TPM) in the project office.
ELO #1: The student will recognize the policy requirements for Technical Performance
        Measures.
ELO #2: The student will recognize the role of Integrated Baseline Reviews in confirming the
        entire technical scope of work has been planned.
ELO #3: The student will recognize the role of the WBS in supporting Technical Performance
        Measure requirements.
TLO #9: The student will understand the scope of DCMA’s (or other) TPM software
        management tool implementation.
ELO #1: The student will recognize the benefits and challenges of Technical Performance
        Measure implementation.
ELO #2: The student will recognize the use of control limit charts to track Technical
        Performance Measure metrics.
ELO #3: The student will understand the methodology and approach used to show the
        effect of Technical Performance Measure on Earned Value.
                                                                                          2/66
To Achieve Success …
We Need to …




                  ©gapingvoid ltd www.gapingvoidgallery.com

                                                              3/66
Increasing the Probability of
                    Program Success Means …
Building A Credible Performance Measurement Baseline


                  Risk            Cost

          IMP/IMS         PMB           SOW

                  WBS             TPM


         This is actually harder than it looks!
                                                       4/66
A Core Problem With Earned
                                       Value
      Measures Of Progress Must Be In Units
        Meaningful To The Stakeholders
 Earned Value measures
  performance in units
  of “money” (BCWS,
  BCWP, ACWP).
 We need another
  measure of progress in
  units of TIME.

                                              5/66
Doing This Starts With Some Guidance
Systems engineering uses technical performance
measurements to balance cost, schedule, and performance
throughout the life cycle. Technical performance
measurements compare actual versus planned technical
development and design. They also report the degree to
which system requirements are met in terms of performance,
cost, schedule, and progress in implementing risk handling.
Performance metrics are traceable to user–defined
capabilities.
― Defense Acquisition Guide
   (https://dag.dau.mil/Pages/Default.aspx)

   In The End ― It’s All About Systems Engineering
                                                              6/66
Just A Reminder Of The …
         Primary Elements of Earned Value

                                     Cost



Funding margin for                                        Schedule margin for
under performance     Over cost or       Over cost or     over target baseline
                         under          over schedule            (OTB)
                      performance


                              Over schedule
          Technical             or under
        Performance            performing
                                                        Schedule


                            Schedule margin for
                           underperformance or
                            schedule extension


                                                                                 7/66
This Has All Been Said Before.
                      We Just Weren’t Listening…
… the basic tenets of the process are the need for
seamless management tools, that support an
integrated approach … and “proactive
identification and management of risk” for critical
cost, schedule, and technical performance
parameters.
― Secretary of Defense, Perry memo, May 1995          TPM Handbook 1984

               Why Is This Hard To Understand?
 We seem to be focused on EV reporting, not the use of EV to
  manage the program.
 Getting the CPR out the door is the end of Program Planning
  and Control’s efforts, not the beginning.

                                                                          8/66
The Gap Seems To Start With A
                            Common Problem
 Many Times, The Information from Cost, Schedule, Technical
Performance, and Risk Management Gets Mixed Up When We
                 Try to Put Them Together




                                                          9/66
                                                          9/66
The NDIA EVM Intent Guide Says




        Notice the inclusion of Technical along with
                     Cost and Schedule
That’s the next step is generating Value from Earned Value
  EV MUST include the Technical Performance Measures

                                                             10/66
Back To Our Technical
  Performance Measures


Technical Performance Measures do what
                they say,
   Measure the Technical Performance
of the product or service produced by the
                program.
                                            11/66
The real question?
 How fast can we safely go?




Yes, the Units of Measure are MPH

                                    12/66
Measure of Effectiveness (MoE)
The operational measures of success that are closely related to the
achievements of the mission or operational objectives evaluated in
 the operational environment, under a specific set of conditions.

Measures of Effectiveness …
 Are stated in units meaningful to the buyer,
 Focus on capabilities independent of any
  technical implementation,
 Are connected to the mission success.
                      MoE’s Belong to the End User

            “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01        13/66
Measure of Performance (MoP)
 Measures that characterize physical or functional attributes
  relating to the system operation, measured or estimated
                   under specific conditions.
Measures of Performance are …
 Attributes that assure the system has the
  capability to perform,
 Assessment of the system to assure it meets
  design requirements to satisfy the MoE.
    MoP’s belong to the Program – Developed by the Systems
     Engineer, Measured By CAMs, and Analyzed by PP&C

            “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01      14/66
Key Performance Parameters (KPP)
     Represent the capabilities and characteristics so
  significant that failure to meet them can be cause for
reevaluation, reassessing, or termination of the program
Key Performance Parameters …
 Have a threshold or objective value,
 Characterize the major drivers of performance,
 Are considered Critical to Customer (CTC).
  The acquirer defines the KPPs during the operational
 concept development – KPPs say what DONE looks like

           “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01   15/66
Technical Performance Measures (TPM)
 Attributes that determine how well a system or system
 element is satisfying or expected to satisfy a technical
                   requirement or goal
Technical Performance Measures …
 Assess design progress,
 Define compliance to performance requirements,
 Identify technical risk,
 Are limited to critical thresholds,
 Include projected performance.
           “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01   16/66
Dependencies Between These Measures
Acquirer Defines the Needs and Capabilities                    Supplier Defines Physical Solutions that
          in terms of Operational Scenarios                    meet the needs of the Stakeholders


                                                                            KPP


  Mission
                               MoE                                         MoP                   TPM
   Need
                        Operational                                 Measures that           Measures used to
                        measures of success                         characterize physical   assess design
                        related to the                              or functional           progress,
                        achievement of the                          attributes relating     compliance to
                        mission or                                  to the system           performance
                        operational                                 operation.              requirements, and
                        objective being                                                     technical risks.
                        evaluated.


                “Coming to Grips with Measures of Effectiveness,” N. Sproles,
                Systems Engineering, Volume 3, Number 1, pp. 50–58                                         17/66
“Measures” of Technical Measures
              Attribute Description
                         Measured technical progress or estimate of
      Achieved to Date
                         progress
                         Value of a technical parameter that is predicted to
      Current Estimate
                         be achieved
                         Point in time when an evaluation of a measure is
             Milestone
                         accomplished
         Planned Value Predicted value of the technical parameter
  Planned Performance Profile representing the project time phased
                 Profile demonstration of a technical parameter
        Tolerance Band Management alert limits
                       Threshold Limiting acceptable value of a technical parameter
                                       Demonstrated technical variance
                        Variances
INCOSE Systems Engineering Handbook    Predicted technical variance            18/66
A Familiar Graphic of TPMs
                          TPM
                                                           Upper Limit
                                     Planned Profile
                                                                             Current Estimate

                                       Planned Value
Mean To Between Failure




                                                                                Threshold


                                        Variance             Lower Limit



                                      Achieved to Date


                                                                           Milestones

                          Time = Program Maturity


                                                                                                19/66
TPMs from an Actual Program
   Chandra X–Ray Telescope




                          20/66
What Does A Real Technical
Performance Measure Look Like?

Not that bagels are not
interesting in Lesson 1 and
2, but let’s get ready to look
at a flying machine.

                                 21/66
The WBS for a UAV
1.1     Air Vehicle           TPMs Start With The WBS
1.1.1   Sensor Platform
1.1.2
1.1.2   Airframe
        Airframe
1.1.3   Propulsion
1.1.4   On Board Comm
1.1.5   Auxiliary Equipment
1.1.6   Survivability
        Modules
1.1.7   Electronic Warfare
        Module
1.1.8   On Board
        Application &
        System SW
1.3     Mission Control /
        Ground Station SW
1.3.1   Signal Processing
        SW
1.3.2   Station Display
1.3.3   Operating System
1.3.4   ROE Simulations
1.3.5   Mission Commands


                                                    22/66
What Do We Need To Know About
                This Program Through TPMs
 What WBS elements represent the TPMs?
 What Work Packages produce these WBS elements?
 Where do these Work Packages live in the IMS?
 What are the Earned Value baseline values for these
  Work Packages?
 How are we going to measure all these variables?
 What does the curve look like for these
  measurements?


                                                    23/66
Verifying Each TPM
                                             Evidence that we’re in compliance
                                             With our submitted ROM what are the values we need to get
      Do we know what we promised to
CA                                           through Integrated Baseline Review. How do we measure
      deliver, now that we’ve won?
                                             weight for each program event?
                                             The contributors to the vehicle weight are confirmed and the
      Can we proceed into preliminary
SFR                                          upper limits defined in the product architecture and
      design?
                                             requirements flow down database (DOORS) into a model.
      Can we proceed into the System         Do we know all drivers of vehicle weight? Can we bound their
SRR   Development and Demonstration          upper limits? Can the subsystem owners be successful within
      (SDD) phase?                           these constraints uses a high fidelity model?
    Can we start detailed design, and        Does each subsystem designer have the target component
    meet the stated performance              weight target and have some confidence they can stay below
PDR
    requirements within cost, schedule,      the upper bound? Can this be verified in some tangible way?
    risk, and other constraints?             Either through prior examples or a lab model?
    Can the system proceed to
                                             Do we know all we need to know to start the fabrication of
    fabrication, demonstration, and test,
CDR                                          the first articles of the flight vehicle. Some type of example,
    within cost, schedule, risk, and other
                                             maybe a prototype is used to verify we’re inside the lines.
    system constraints?
      Can the system ready to                Does the assembled vehicle fall within the weight range limits
TRR
      proceed into formal test?              for 1st flight – will this thing get off the ground?      24/66
Design Model
                                                         TPM Trends & Responses
ROM in Proposal                                                 Detailed Design Model
                                                                        Bench Scale Model Measurement
    Technical Performance Measure




                                    28kg                                        Prototype Measurement
            Vehicle Weight




                                                                                                Flight 1st Article
                                    26kg

                                    25kg


                                    23kg



                                           CA      SFR    SRR     PDR     CDR           TRR

                                     EV Taken, planned values met, tolerances kept, etc.

                                                                                        Dr. Falk Chart – modified 25/66
The Assessment Of Weight As A
                           Function Of Time
 At Contract Award there is a Proposal grade estimate of
  vehicle weight.
 At System Functional Review, the Concept of Operations is
  validated for the weight.
 At System Requirements Review the weight targets are
  flowed down to the subsystems components.
 At PDR the CAD model starts the verification process.
 At CDR actual measurements are needed to verify all
  models.
 At Test Readiness Review we need to know how much
  fuel to put on board for the 1st flight test.

                                                          26/66
The WBS for a UAV                                        Airframe Weight TPM
1.1      Air Vehicle                                         The planned weight is
1.1.1    Sensor Platform                                     25kg. The actual weight is
1.1.2
1.1.2    Airframe
        Airframe                                             25.5kg.
                                                             Close to plan! So we are
                                                             doing okay, right?

                     CA           SFR            SRR             PDR             CDR             TRR
Planned Value      28.0kg        27.0kg         26.0kg          25.0kg           24.0kg          23.0kg

Actual Value       30.4kg        29.0kg         27.5kg          25.5kg

                  Moderate         Low           Low         Very Low (less
Assessed Risk
                  >2.0kg off    1–2 kg off    1–2 kg off     than 1.0 kg
   to TRR
                    target        target        target       off target)
                                                               Program–           Actual         Actual
                                               Program–
  Planned        “Similar to”                                unique design    measurement     measurement
                                  ROM        unique design
  Method          Estimate                                    model with      of bench–test   of prototype
                                                 model
                                                             validated data    components       airframe
  Actual         “Similar to”
  Method          Estimate
                                  ROM            ROM             ROM           Here’s the Problem

                                                                                                             27/66
Raison d'etre for Technical
        Performance Measures

The real purpose of
                              Risk         Cost
Technical Performance
Measures is to reduce   IMP/IMS      PMB      SOW

Programmatic and             WBS           TPM
Technical RISK

                                                    28/66
Buying Down Risk with TPMs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             “Buying down” risk is
                                                                                 Risk: CEV-037 - Loss of Critical Functions During Descent


             24
                                                                                             Correlate the analytical model



                                                                                                                                                                                                                              planned in the IMS.
             22                                                                  Conduct focus splinter review

             20                                             Develop analytical model to de
                                         Conduct Force and Moment Wind
             18




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             MoE, MoP, and KPP
                                                                                  Conduct Block 1 w ind tunnel te
             16                                                                                                                    Conduct w ind tunnel testing of
                                                                                                         Conduct w ind tunnel testing of
Risk Score




             14
                                                                                                                                              Flight Application of Spacecra
             12

             10

             8
                                                                                                                                                                   CEV block 5 w ind tunnel testin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              defined in the work
             6

             4
                                                                                                                                       In-Flight development tests of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              package for the critical
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              measure – weight.
             2                                                                                                                                                             Damaged TPS flight test

             0
                                                          3.Jul.06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.Jul.11
                  31.Mar.05




                              5.Oct.05




                                                                                              1.Jun.07




                                                                                                                                                                                1.Jan.10




                                                                                                                                                                                                     16.Dec.10
                                                                     15.Sep.06
                                               3.Apr.06




                                                                                                                        1.Apr.08


                                                                                                                                   1.Aug.08




                                                                                                                                                        1.Apr.09




                                    Planned Risk Level

                                      Weight risk
                                                                                                                                               Planned (Solid=Linked, Hollow =Unlinked, Filled=Complete)

                                                                                                                                                      Weight confirmed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             If we can’t verify we’ve
                                     reduced from
                                     RED to Yellow
                                                                                                                                                       ready to fly – it’s
                                                                                                                                                      GREEN at this point                                                     succeeded, then the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              risk did not get
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              reduced.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             The risk may have
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              gotten worse.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     29/66
Increasing the Probability of
             Success with Risk Management
 Going outside the TPM
  limits always means
  cost and schedule
  impacts.
 “Coloring Inside the
  Lines” means knowing
  the how to keep the
  program GREEN, or at
  least stay close to
  GREEN.                  So much for our strategy of winning
                             through technical dominance
                                                                30/66
Connecting the EV Variables
              Integrating Cost, Schedulele, and Technical Performance
     Assures Program Management has the needed performance information to deliver
                       on‒time, on‒budget, and on‒specification

                                               =
                               Technical Performance Measures
                 Cost                          +                     Schedule
                                   Conventional Earned Value

        Cost Baseline                Technical Performance             Schedule Baseline
 Master Schedule is used to       Earned Value is diluted by     Requirements are
  derive Basis of Estimate          missing technical               decomposed into physical
  (BOE) not the other way           performance.                    deliverables.
  around.                          Earned Value is diluted by     Deliverables are produced
 Probabilistic cost                postponed features.             through Work Packages.
  estimating uses past             Earned Value is diluted by     Work Packages are
  performance and cost risk         non compliant quality.          assigned to accountable
  modeling.                        All these dilutions require     manager.
 Labor, Materiel, and other        adjustments to the             Work Packages are
  direct costs accounted for        Estimate at Complete            sequenced to form the
  in Work Packages.                 (EAC) and the To Complete       highest value stream with
 Risk adjustments for all          Performance Index (TCPI).       the lowest technical and
  elements of cost.                                                 programmatic risk.


                                                                                                31/66
TPM Checklist
         MoE                        MoP                             TPM
                          Traceable to applicable      Traceable to applicable MoPs,
Traceable to needs,
                          MOEs, KPPs, system level     system element performance,
goals, objectives, and
                          performance requirements,    requirements, objectives,
risks.
                          and risks.                   risks, and WBS elements.
                          Focused on technical risks   Further decomposed,
Defined with associated   and supports trades          budgeted, and allocated to
KPPs.                     between alternative          lower level system elements in
                          solutions.                   the WBS and IMS.
Each MoE independent      Provided insight into        Assigned an owner, the CAM
from others.              system performance.          and Work Package Manager.
Each MoE independent      Decomposed, budgeted         Sources of measure identified
of technical any          and allocated to system      and processes for generating
solution.                 elements.                    the measures defined.
                          Assigned an “owner,” the     Integrated into the program’s
Address the required
                          CAM and Technical            IMS as part of the exit criteria
KPPs.
                          Manager.                     for the Work Package.        32/66
Did We Accomplish the Learning
                                                  Objectives?
TLO #9: The student will understand the role of Technical Performance Measurement (TPM) in the project
                                                  office.
ELO #1: The student will recognize the policy            Policies and supporting guidance, with links and
requirements for TPM.                                    reference numbers provided.
ELO #2: The student will recognize the role of IBRs in   This is the first place where cost, schedule and
confirming the entire technical scope of work has        technical performance come together – in the
been planned.                                            Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)
ELO #3: The student will recognize the role of the       TPMs are first located in the WBS
WBS in supporting TPM requirements.
    TLO #9: The student will understand the scope of DCMA’s (or other) TPM software management tool
                                              implementation.
ELO #1: The student will recognize the benefits and      Progress is measured in units of physical percent
challenges of TPM implementation.                        complete. TPMs are those units.
ELO #2: The student will recognize the use of control    We’ve seen notional and actual charts
limit charts to track TPM metrics.
ELO #3: The student will understand the                  The example of our “flying machine” connects the
methodology and approach used to show the effect         dots for TPMs, risk, cost, and schedule.
of TPMs on earned value.
                                                                                                             33/66
34/66
Backup Materials

Knowledge is of two kinds. We know a
 subject ourselves, or we know where
    we can find information on it
          — Samuel Johnson

                                       35/66
Many of Sources for Connecting the Dots
OMB Circular A–11, Section 300             Interim Defense Acquisition Guidebook (DAG)
                                           6/15/09
GAO Report 06–250                          Systems Engineering Plan (SEP) Preparation Guide
                                           4/08
DoDI 5000.02, Operation of the Defense     WBS Handbook, Mil–HDBK–881A (WBS) 7/30/05
Acquisition System (POL) 12/08
Integrated Master Plan (IMP) & Integrated Guide for Integrating SE into DOD Acquisition
Master Schedule Preparation & Use Guide Contracts 12/06
(IMS) 10/21/05
Defense Acquisition Program Support        Guide to the Project Management Institute Body of
Methodology (DAPS) V2.0 3/20/09            Knowledge (PMBOK Guide®), 4th Edition
Standard for Application and               Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI®)
Management of the SE Process (IEEE
1220)
IEEE 1220: 6.8.1.5                         Processes for Engineering a System (ANSI/EIA–632)
NASA EVM Guide NPG 9501.3
                                                                                           36/66
Office of Management and
                                             Budget

Circular No. A–11, Section 300
 Planning, Budgeting, Acquisition and Management
  of Capital Assets
 Section 300–5
  – Performance–based acquisition management
  – Based on EVMS standard
  – Measure progress towards milestones
     •   Cost
     •   Capability to meet specified requirements
     •   Timeliness
     •   Quality

                                                     37/66
Need: Accurate Performance
                                   Measurement

      GAO Report 06–250     Findings and Recommendations
Information Technology:     2. If EVM is not implemented
Improve the Accuracy and       effectively, decisions based on
Reliability of Investment      inaccurate and potentially
Information                    misleading information
                            3. Agencies not measuring actual
                               versus expected performance
                               in meeting IT performance
                               goals.




                                                             38/66
DOD Guides:
                                   Technical Performance

Department of Defense Guidelines for Technical Performance Measures
DoDI 5000.02, Operation of the Defense Acquisition System (POL) 12/08
Interim Defense Acquisition Guidebook (DAG) 6/15/09
Systems Engineering Plan (SEP) Preparation Guide 4/08
WBS Handbook, Mil–HDBK–881A (WBS) 7/30/05
Integrated Master Plan (IMP) & Integrated Master Schedule Preparation &
Use Guide (IMS) 10/21/05
Guide for Integrating SE into DOD Acquisition Contracts (Integ SE) 12/06
Defense Acquisition Program Support Methodology (DAPS) V2.0 3/20/09



                                                                           39/66
DoD: TPMs in Technical Baselines and Reviews




                                                            Engineering
                                                            Integrated
                                                  IMP/IMS


                                                            Systems


                                                                          DAPS
                                            WBS
                                DAG
                          POL




                                      SEP
DoD Policy or Guide
Technical Baselines:
IMP/IMS
Functional (SFR)                                                        
Allocated (PDR)
Product (CDR)
Event driven timing                                                 
Success criteria of
technical review                                                    
Entry and exit criteria
for technical reviews                                                  
Assess technical
maturity                                                                40/66
DoD: TPMs in Integrated Plans




                                                             Engineering
                                                             Integrated
                                                   IMP/IMS


                                                             Systems


                                                                           DAPS
                                             WBS
                                 DAG
                           POL




                                       SEP
DoD Policy or Guide
Integrated SEP with:
IMP/IMS
TPMs                                                                   
EVM
Integrated WBS with
Requirement
Specification                                                          
Statement of Work
IMP/IMS/EVMS
Link risk management,
technical reviews, TPMs,                                                 
EVM, WBS, IMS                                                                41/66
Guidance in Standards, Models,
               and Defense Acquisition Guide
 Processes for Engineering a System (ANSI/EIA–632)
 Standard for Application and Management of the SE
  Process (IEEE 1220)
 Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI®)
  – CMMI for Development, Version 1.2
  – CMMI for Acquisition, Version 1.2
  – Using CMMI to Improve Earned Value Management,
    2002
 Guide to the Project Management Institute Body of
  Knowledge (PMBOK Guide®), 4th Edition

                                                      42/66
Technical Performance
                                                 Measures (TPM)
                                     More Sources
IEEE 1220: 6.8.1.5,           EIA–632: Glossary              CMMI for Development
Performance–based progress                                   Requirements Development
measurement

TPMs are key to                Predict future value of key   Specific Practice (SP) 3.3,
progressively assess technical technical parameters of the   Analyze Requirements
progress                       end system based on current   Typical work product:
                               assessments                   TPMs
Establish dates for           Planned value profile is       Subpractice:
  – Checking progress         time–phased achievement        Identify TPMs that will be
  – Meeting full              projected                      tracked during development
  conformance to              • Achievement to date
  requirements                • Technical milestone where
                              TPM evaluation is reported


                                                                                           43/66
PMBOK® Guide

 10.5.1.1 Project Management Plan
 Performance Measurement Baseline:
  – Typically integrates scope, schedule, and cost
    parameters of a project
  – May also include technical and quality parameters




                                                        44/66
PMBOK® Guide

 8.3.5.4 Work Performance Measurements
 Used to produce project activity metrics
 Evaluate actual progress as compared to planned
  progress
 Include, but are not limited to:
  – Planned vs. actual technical performance
  – Planned vs. actual schedule performance, and
  – Planned vs. actual cost performance.

                                                   45/66
TPMs in DAG and DAPS

Defense Acquisition Guide
 Performance measurement of WBS elements, using
  objective measures:
   – Essential for EVM and Technical Assessment activities
 Use TPMs and Critical Technical Parameters (CTP) to
  report progress in achieving milestones
DAPS
 Use TPMs to determine whether % completion metrics
  accurately reflect quantitative technical progress and
  quality toward meeting Key Performance Parameters
  (KPP) and Critical Technical Parameters

                                                             46/66
TPMs in DAG

 Compare the actual versus planned technical
  development and design
 Report progress in the degree to which system
  performance requirements are met.
 Plan is defined in terms of:
  – Expected performance at specific points
     • Defined in the WBS and IMS
  – Methods of measurement at those points
  – Variation limits for corrective action.
                                                  47/66
PMBOK® Guide

 11.6.2.4 Technical Performance Measurement
 Compares technical accomplishments… to … project
  management plan’s schedule of technical
  achievement
 Requires definition of objective quantifiable
  measures of technical performance which can be
  used to compare actual results against targets.
 Might include weight, transaction times, number of
  delivered defects, storage capacity etc.
 Deviation, such as demonstrating more or less
  functionality than planned at a milestone…forecast
  degree of success in achieving the project’s scope.

                                                    48/66
CMMI–ACQ

 Acquisition Technical Management
 SP 1.3 Conduct Technical Reviews
 Typical supplier deliverables
 Progress reports and process, product, and
  service level measurements
 TPMs



                                               49/66
SMS Shall:
           Monitor Progress Against the Plan
 4.2.12.2 Monitoring
  – Contractor SHALL monitor progress against plan to
    validate, approve, and maintain each baseline and
    functional architecture
 4.2.12.2.2 Required Product Attributes
  – Each documented assessment includes:
  – TPMs, metrics
  – Metrics and technical parameters for tracking that
    are critical indicators of technical progress and
    achievement

                                                         50/66
NASA EVM Guide:
                                Technical Performance
• NASA EVM Guide NPG 9501.3
  – 4.5 Technical Performance Requirements (TPR): When
    TPRs are used,
  – appropriate and relevant metrics…
  – must be defined in the solicitation
  – Appendix A.7, 14.1 TPR
  • Compares:
     • Expected performance and
     • Physical characteristics
     • With contractually specified values.
  • Basis for reporting established milestones
  • Progress toward meeting technical requirements

                                                         51/66
Derivation and Flow
                                                     Down of TPMs

         Document, Baseline,
             IMS, EVM                                     Parameter
 IMP, Functional Baseline                  Measures Of Effectiveness (MOE)        

 IMP, WBS, Functional Baseline             Measures Of Performance (MOP)          

 IMP, Allocated Baseline                   Technical Performance Measure          

 IMS                                       TPM Milestones And Planned Values      

 Work Packages                             TPM% Complete Criteria                 


        See next chart for linkage of technical baselines to technical reviews

                                                                                 52/66
Interesting Attributes of TPMs

 Achieved to Date (sounds like EV)
 Current Estimate (sounds like EAC/ETC)
 Milestone
 Planned (target) value (sounds like PV)
 Planned performance profile (sounds like a PMB)
 Tolerance band (sounds like reporting
  thresholds)
 Threshold (yep, just what we thought)
 Variance (sounds like variance!)

                                                53/66

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Cpm500 d _alleman__tpm lesson 3 (v1)

  • 1. PMI EVM Community of Practice IPM 2011 CPM-500(D) : Implementing Technical Performance Measures Glen B. Alleman DoD Programs glen.alleman@niwotridge.com +1 303 241 9633
  • 2. Learning Objectives TLO #9: The student will understand the role of Technical Performance Measurement (TPM) in the project office. ELO #1: The student will recognize the policy requirements for Technical Performance Measures. ELO #2: The student will recognize the role of Integrated Baseline Reviews in confirming the entire technical scope of work has been planned. ELO #3: The student will recognize the role of the WBS in supporting Technical Performance Measure requirements. TLO #9: The student will understand the scope of DCMA’s (or other) TPM software management tool implementation. ELO #1: The student will recognize the benefits and challenges of Technical Performance Measure implementation. ELO #2: The student will recognize the use of control limit charts to track Technical Performance Measure metrics. ELO #3: The student will understand the methodology and approach used to show the effect of Technical Performance Measure on Earned Value. 2/66
  • 3. To Achieve Success … We Need to … ©gapingvoid ltd www.gapingvoidgallery.com 3/66
  • 4. Increasing the Probability of Program Success Means … Building A Credible Performance Measurement Baseline Risk Cost IMP/IMS PMB SOW WBS TPM This is actually harder than it looks! 4/66
  • 5. A Core Problem With Earned Value Measures Of Progress Must Be In Units Meaningful To The Stakeholders  Earned Value measures performance in units of “money” (BCWS, BCWP, ACWP).  We need another measure of progress in units of TIME. 5/66
  • 6. Doing This Starts With Some Guidance Systems engineering uses technical performance measurements to balance cost, schedule, and performance throughout the life cycle. Technical performance measurements compare actual versus planned technical development and design. They also report the degree to which system requirements are met in terms of performance, cost, schedule, and progress in implementing risk handling. Performance metrics are traceable to user–defined capabilities. ― Defense Acquisition Guide (https://dag.dau.mil/Pages/Default.aspx) In The End ― It’s All About Systems Engineering 6/66
  • 7. Just A Reminder Of The … Primary Elements of Earned Value Cost Funding margin for Schedule margin for under performance Over cost or Over cost or over target baseline under over schedule (OTB) performance Over schedule Technical or under Performance performing Schedule Schedule margin for underperformance or schedule extension 7/66
  • 8. This Has All Been Said Before. We Just Weren’t Listening… … the basic tenets of the process are the need for seamless management tools, that support an integrated approach … and “proactive identification and management of risk” for critical cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters. ― Secretary of Defense, Perry memo, May 1995 TPM Handbook 1984 Why Is This Hard To Understand?  We seem to be focused on EV reporting, not the use of EV to manage the program.  Getting the CPR out the door is the end of Program Planning and Control’s efforts, not the beginning. 8/66
  • 9. The Gap Seems To Start With A Common Problem Many Times, The Information from Cost, Schedule, Technical Performance, and Risk Management Gets Mixed Up When We Try to Put Them Together 9/66 9/66
  • 10. The NDIA EVM Intent Guide Says Notice the inclusion of Technical along with Cost and Schedule That’s the next step is generating Value from Earned Value EV MUST include the Technical Performance Measures 10/66
  • 11. Back To Our Technical Performance Measures Technical Performance Measures do what they say, Measure the Technical Performance of the product or service produced by the program. 11/66
  • 12. The real question? How fast can we safely go? Yes, the Units of Measure are MPH 12/66
  • 13. Measure of Effectiveness (MoE) The operational measures of success that are closely related to the achievements of the mission or operational objectives evaluated in the operational environment, under a specific set of conditions. Measures of Effectiveness …  Are stated in units meaningful to the buyer,  Focus on capabilities independent of any technical implementation,  Are connected to the mission success. MoE’s Belong to the End User “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 13/66
  • 14. Measure of Performance (MoP) Measures that characterize physical or functional attributes relating to the system operation, measured or estimated under specific conditions. Measures of Performance are …  Attributes that assure the system has the capability to perform,  Assessment of the system to assure it meets design requirements to satisfy the MoE. MoP’s belong to the Program – Developed by the Systems Engineer, Measured By CAMs, and Analyzed by PP&C “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 14/66
  • 15. Key Performance Parameters (KPP) Represent the capabilities and characteristics so significant that failure to meet them can be cause for reevaluation, reassessing, or termination of the program Key Performance Parameters …  Have a threshold or objective value,  Characterize the major drivers of performance,  Are considered Critical to Customer (CTC). The acquirer defines the KPPs during the operational concept development – KPPs say what DONE looks like “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 15/66
  • 16. Technical Performance Measures (TPM) Attributes that determine how well a system or system element is satisfying or expected to satisfy a technical requirement or goal Technical Performance Measures …  Assess design progress,  Define compliance to performance requirements,  Identify technical risk,  Are limited to critical thresholds,  Include projected performance. “Technical Measurement,” INCOSE–TP–2003–020–01 16/66
  • 17. Dependencies Between These Measures Acquirer Defines the Needs and Capabilities Supplier Defines Physical Solutions that in terms of Operational Scenarios meet the needs of the Stakeholders KPP Mission MoE MoP TPM Need Operational Measures that Measures used to measures of success characterize physical assess design related to the or functional progress, achievement of the attributes relating compliance to mission or to the system performance operational operation. requirements, and objective being technical risks. evaluated. “Coming to Grips with Measures of Effectiveness,” N. Sproles, Systems Engineering, Volume 3, Number 1, pp. 50–58 17/66
  • 18. “Measures” of Technical Measures Attribute Description Measured technical progress or estimate of Achieved to Date progress Value of a technical parameter that is predicted to Current Estimate be achieved Point in time when an evaluation of a measure is Milestone accomplished Planned Value Predicted value of the technical parameter Planned Performance Profile representing the project time phased Profile demonstration of a technical parameter Tolerance Band Management alert limits Threshold Limiting acceptable value of a technical parameter  Demonstrated technical variance Variances INCOSE Systems Engineering Handbook  Predicted technical variance 18/66
  • 19. A Familiar Graphic of TPMs TPM Upper Limit Planned Profile Current Estimate Planned Value Mean To Between Failure Threshold Variance Lower Limit Achieved to Date Milestones Time = Program Maturity 19/66
  • 20. TPMs from an Actual Program Chandra X–Ray Telescope 20/66
  • 21. What Does A Real Technical Performance Measure Look Like? Not that bagels are not interesting in Lesson 1 and 2, but let’s get ready to look at a flying machine. 21/66
  • 22. The WBS for a UAV 1.1 Air Vehicle TPMs Start With The WBS 1.1.1 Sensor Platform 1.1.2 1.1.2 Airframe Airframe 1.1.3 Propulsion 1.1.4 On Board Comm 1.1.5 Auxiliary Equipment 1.1.6 Survivability Modules 1.1.7 Electronic Warfare Module 1.1.8 On Board Application & System SW 1.3 Mission Control / Ground Station SW 1.3.1 Signal Processing SW 1.3.2 Station Display 1.3.3 Operating System 1.3.4 ROE Simulations 1.3.5 Mission Commands 22/66
  • 23. What Do We Need To Know About This Program Through TPMs  What WBS elements represent the TPMs?  What Work Packages produce these WBS elements?  Where do these Work Packages live in the IMS?  What are the Earned Value baseline values for these Work Packages?  How are we going to measure all these variables?  What does the curve look like for these measurements? 23/66
  • 24. Verifying Each TPM Evidence that we’re in compliance With our submitted ROM what are the values we need to get Do we know what we promised to CA through Integrated Baseline Review. How do we measure deliver, now that we’ve won? weight for each program event? The contributors to the vehicle weight are confirmed and the Can we proceed into preliminary SFR upper limits defined in the product architecture and design? requirements flow down database (DOORS) into a model. Can we proceed into the System Do we know all drivers of vehicle weight? Can we bound their SRR Development and Demonstration upper limits? Can the subsystem owners be successful within (SDD) phase? these constraints uses a high fidelity model? Can we start detailed design, and Does each subsystem designer have the target component meet the stated performance weight target and have some confidence they can stay below PDR requirements within cost, schedule, the upper bound? Can this be verified in some tangible way? risk, and other constraints? Either through prior examples or a lab model? Can the system proceed to Do we know all we need to know to start the fabrication of fabrication, demonstration, and test, CDR the first articles of the flight vehicle. Some type of example, within cost, schedule, risk, and other maybe a prototype is used to verify we’re inside the lines. system constraints? Can the system ready to Does the assembled vehicle fall within the weight range limits TRR proceed into formal test? for 1st flight – will this thing get off the ground? 24/66
  • 25. Design Model TPM Trends & Responses ROM in Proposal Detailed Design Model Bench Scale Model Measurement Technical Performance Measure 28kg Prototype Measurement Vehicle Weight Flight 1st Article 26kg 25kg 23kg CA SFR SRR PDR CDR TRR EV Taken, planned values met, tolerances kept, etc. Dr. Falk Chart – modified 25/66
  • 26. The Assessment Of Weight As A Function Of Time  At Contract Award there is a Proposal grade estimate of vehicle weight.  At System Functional Review, the Concept of Operations is validated for the weight.  At System Requirements Review the weight targets are flowed down to the subsystems components.  At PDR the CAD model starts the verification process.  At CDR actual measurements are needed to verify all models.  At Test Readiness Review we need to know how much fuel to put on board for the 1st flight test. 26/66
  • 27. The WBS for a UAV Airframe Weight TPM 1.1 Air Vehicle The planned weight is 1.1.1 Sensor Platform 25kg. The actual weight is 1.1.2 1.1.2 Airframe Airframe 25.5kg. Close to plan! So we are doing okay, right? CA SFR SRR PDR CDR TRR Planned Value 28.0kg 27.0kg 26.0kg 25.0kg 24.0kg 23.0kg Actual Value 30.4kg 29.0kg 27.5kg 25.5kg Moderate Low Low Very Low (less Assessed Risk >2.0kg off 1–2 kg off 1–2 kg off than 1.0 kg to TRR target target target off target) Program– Actual Actual Program– Planned “Similar to” unique design measurement measurement ROM unique design Method Estimate model with of bench–test of prototype model validated data components airframe Actual “Similar to” Method Estimate ROM ROM ROM Here’s the Problem 27/66
  • 28. Raison d'etre for Technical Performance Measures The real purpose of Risk Cost Technical Performance Measures is to reduce IMP/IMS PMB SOW Programmatic and WBS TPM Technical RISK 28/66
  • 29. Buying Down Risk with TPMs  “Buying down” risk is Risk: CEV-037 - Loss of Critical Functions During Descent 24 Correlate the analytical model planned in the IMS. 22 Conduct focus splinter review 20 Develop analytical model to de Conduct Force and Moment Wind 18  MoE, MoP, and KPP Conduct Block 1 w ind tunnel te 16 Conduct w ind tunnel testing of Conduct w ind tunnel testing of Risk Score 14 Flight Application of Spacecra 12 10 8 CEV block 5 w ind tunnel testin defined in the work 6 4 In-Flight development tests of package for the critical measure – weight. 2 Damaged TPS flight test 0 3.Jul.06 1.Jul.11 31.Mar.05 5.Oct.05 1.Jun.07 1.Jan.10 16.Dec.10 15.Sep.06 3.Apr.06 1.Apr.08 1.Aug.08 1.Apr.09 Planned Risk Level Weight risk Planned (Solid=Linked, Hollow =Unlinked, Filled=Complete) Weight confirmed  If we can’t verify we’ve reduced from RED to Yellow ready to fly – it’s GREEN at this point succeeded, then the risk did not get reduced.  The risk may have gotten worse. 29/66
  • 30. Increasing the Probability of Success with Risk Management  Going outside the TPM limits always means cost and schedule impacts.  “Coloring Inside the Lines” means knowing the how to keep the program GREEN, or at least stay close to GREEN. So much for our strategy of winning through technical dominance 30/66
  • 31. Connecting the EV Variables Integrating Cost, Schedulele, and Technical Performance Assures Program Management has the needed performance information to deliver on‒time, on‒budget, and on‒specification = Technical Performance Measures Cost + Schedule Conventional Earned Value Cost Baseline Technical Performance Schedule Baseline  Master Schedule is used to  Earned Value is diluted by  Requirements are derive Basis of Estimate missing technical decomposed into physical (BOE) not the other way performance. deliverables. around.  Earned Value is diluted by  Deliverables are produced  Probabilistic cost postponed features. through Work Packages. estimating uses past  Earned Value is diluted by  Work Packages are performance and cost risk non compliant quality. assigned to accountable modeling.  All these dilutions require manager.  Labor, Materiel, and other adjustments to the  Work Packages are direct costs accounted for Estimate at Complete sequenced to form the in Work Packages. (EAC) and the To Complete highest value stream with  Risk adjustments for all Performance Index (TCPI). the lowest technical and elements of cost. programmatic risk. 31/66
  • 32. TPM Checklist MoE MoP TPM Traceable to applicable Traceable to applicable MoPs, Traceable to needs, MOEs, KPPs, system level system element performance, goals, objectives, and performance requirements, requirements, objectives, risks. and risks. risks, and WBS elements. Focused on technical risks Further decomposed, Defined with associated and supports trades budgeted, and allocated to KPPs. between alternative lower level system elements in solutions. the WBS and IMS. Each MoE independent Provided insight into Assigned an owner, the CAM from others. system performance. and Work Package Manager. Each MoE independent Decomposed, budgeted Sources of measure identified of technical any and allocated to system and processes for generating solution. elements. the measures defined. Assigned an “owner,” the Integrated into the program’s Address the required CAM and Technical IMS as part of the exit criteria KPPs. Manager. for the Work Package. 32/66
  • 33. Did We Accomplish the Learning Objectives? TLO #9: The student will understand the role of Technical Performance Measurement (TPM) in the project office. ELO #1: The student will recognize the policy Policies and supporting guidance, with links and requirements for TPM. reference numbers provided. ELO #2: The student will recognize the role of IBRs in This is the first place where cost, schedule and confirming the entire technical scope of work has technical performance come together – in the been planned. Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) ELO #3: The student will recognize the role of the TPMs are first located in the WBS WBS in supporting TPM requirements. TLO #9: The student will understand the scope of DCMA’s (or other) TPM software management tool implementation. ELO #1: The student will recognize the benefits and Progress is measured in units of physical percent challenges of TPM implementation. complete. TPMs are those units. ELO #2: The student will recognize the use of control We’ve seen notional and actual charts limit charts to track TPM metrics. ELO #3: The student will understand the The example of our “flying machine” connects the methodology and approach used to show the effect dots for TPMs, risk, cost, and schedule. of TPMs on earned value. 33/66
  • 34. 34/66
  • 35. Backup Materials Knowledge is of two kinds. We know a subject ourselves, or we know where we can find information on it — Samuel Johnson 35/66
  • 36. Many of Sources for Connecting the Dots OMB Circular A–11, Section 300 Interim Defense Acquisition Guidebook (DAG) 6/15/09 GAO Report 06–250 Systems Engineering Plan (SEP) Preparation Guide 4/08 DoDI 5000.02, Operation of the Defense WBS Handbook, Mil–HDBK–881A (WBS) 7/30/05 Acquisition System (POL) 12/08 Integrated Master Plan (IMP) & Integrated Guide for Integrating SE into DOD Acquisition Master Schedule Preparation & Use Guide Contracts 12/06 (IMS) 10/21/05 Defense Acquisition Program Support Guide to the Project Management Institute Body of Methodology (DAPS) V2.0 3/20/09 Knowledge (PMBOK Guide®), 4th Edition Standard for Application and Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI®) Management of the SE Process (IEEE 1220) IEEE 1220: 6.8.1.5 Processes for Engineering a System (ANSI/EIA–632) NASA EVM Guide NPG 9501.3 36/66
  • 37. Office of Management and Budget Circular No. A–11, Section 300  Planning, Budgeting, Acquisition and Management of Capital Assets  Section 300–5 – Performance–based acquisition management – Based on EVMS standard – Measure progress towards milestones • Cost • Capability to meet specified requirements • Timeliness • Quality 37/66
  • 38. Need: Accurate Performance Measurement GAO Report 06–250 Findings and Recommendations Information Technology: 2. If EVM is not implemented Improve the Accuracy and effectively, decisions based on Reliability of Investment inaccurate and potentially Information misleading information 3. Agencies not measuring actual versus expected performance in meeting IT performance goals. 38/66
  • 39. DOD Guides: Technical Performance Department of Defense Guidelines for Technical Performance Measures DoDI 5000.02, Operation of the Defense Acquisition System (POL) 12/08 Interim Defense Acquisition Guidebook (DAG) 6/15/09 Systems Engineering Plan (SEP) Preparation Guide 4/08 WBS Handbook, Mil–HDBK–881A (WBS) 7/30/05 Integrated Master Plan (IMP) & Integrated Master Schedule Preparation & Use Guide (IMS) 10/21/05 Guide for Integrating SE into DOD Acquisition Contracts (Integ SE) 12/06 Defense Acquisition Program Support Methodology (DAPS) V2.0 3/20/09 39/66
  • 40. DoD: TPMs in Technical Baselines and Reviews Engineering Integrated IMP/IMS Systems DAPS WBS DAG POL SEP DoD Policy or Guide Technical Baselines: IMP/IMS Functional (SFR)    Allocated (PDR) Product (CDR) Event driven timing        Success criteria of technical review        Entry and exit criteria for technical reviews     Assess technical maturity     40/66
  • 41. DoD: TPMs in Integrated Plans Engineering Integrated IMP/IMS Systems DAPS WBS DAG POL SEP DoD Policy or Guide Integrated SEP with: IMP/IMS TPMs      EVM Integrated WBS with Requirement Specification      Statement of Work IMP/IMS/EVMS Link risk management, technical reviews, TPMs,    EVM, WBS, IMS 41/66
  • 42. Guidance in Standards, Models, and Defense Acquisition Guide  Processes for Engineering a System (ANSI/EIA–632)  Standard for Application and Management of the SE Process (IEEE 1220)  Capability Maturity Model Integration (CMMI®) – CMMI for Development, Version 1.2 – CMMI for Acquisition, Version 1.2 – Using CMMI to Improve Earned Value Management, 2002  Guide to the Project Management Institute Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide®), 4th Edition 42/66
  • 43. Technical Performance Measures (TPM) More Sources IEEE 1220: 6.8.1.5, EIA–632: Glossary CMMI for Development Performance–based progress Requirements Development measurement TPMs are key to Predict future value of key Specific Practice (SP) 3.3, progressively assess technical technical parameters of the Analyze Requirements progress end system based on current Typical work product: assessments TPMs Establish dates for Planned value profile is Subpractice: – Checking progress time–phased achievement Identify TPMs that will be – Meeting full projected tracked during development conformance to • Achievement to date requirements • Technical milestone where TPM evaluation is reported 43/66
  • 44. PMBOK® Guide  10.5.1.1 Project Management Plan  Performance Measurement Baseline: – Typically integrates scope, schedule, and cost parameters of a project – May also include technical and quality parameters 44/66
  • 45. PMBOK® Guide  8.3.5.4 Work Performance Measurements  Used to produce project activity metrics  Evaluate actual progress as compared to planned progress  Include, but are not limited to: – Planned vs. actual technical performance – Planned vs. actual schedule performance, and – Planned vs. actual cost performance. 45/66
  • 46. TPMs in DAG and DAPS Defense Acquisition Guide  Performance measurement of WBS elements, using objective measures: – Essential for EVM and Technical Assessment activities  Use TPMs and Critical Technical Parameters (CTP) to report progress in achieving milestones DAPS  Use TPMs to determine whether % completion metrics accurately reflect quantitative technical progress and quality toward meeting Key Performance Parameters (KPP) and Critical Technical Parameters 46/66
  • 47. TPMs in DAG  Compare the actual versus planned technical development and design  Report progress in the degree to which system performance requirements are met.  Plan is defined in terms of: – Expected performance at specific points • Defined in the WBS and IMS – Methods of measurement at those points – Variation limits for corrective action. 47/66
  • 48. PMBOK® Guide  11.6.2.4 Technical Performance Measurement  Compares technical accomplishments… to … project management plan’s schedule of technical achievement  Requires definition of objective quantifiable measures of technical performance which can be used to compare actual results against targets.  Might include weight, transaction times, number of delivered defects, storage capacity etc.  Deviation, such as demonstrating more or less functionality than planned at a milestone…forecast degree of success in achieving the project’s scope. 48/66
  • 49. CMMI–ACQ  Acquisition Technical Management  SP 1.3 Conduct Technical Reviews  Typical supplier deliverables  Progress reports and process, product, and service level measurements  TPMs 49/66
  • 50. SMS Shall: Monitor Progress Against the Plan  4.2.12.2 Monitoring – Contractor SHALL monitor progress against plan to validate, approve, and maintain each baseline and functional architecture  4.2.12.2.2 Required Product Attributes – Each documented assessment includes: – TPMs, metrics – Metrics and technical parameters for tracking that are critical indicators of technical progress and achievement 50/66
  • 51. NASA EVM Guide: Technical Performance • NASA EVM Guide NPG 9501.3 – 4.5 Technical Performance Requirements (TPR): When TPRs are used, – appropriate and relevant metrics… – must be defined in the solicitation – Appendix A.7, 14.1 TPR • Compares: • Expected performance and • Physical characteristics • With contractually specified values. • Basis for reporting established milestones • Progress toward meeting technical requirements 51/66
  • 52. Derivation and Flow Down of TPMs Document, Baseline, IMS, EVM Parameter  IMP, Functional Baseline Measures Of Effectiveness (MOE)   IMP, WBS, Functional Baseline Measures Of Performance (MOP)   IMP, Allocated Baseline Technical Performance Measure   IMS TPM Milestones And Planned Values   Work Packages TPM% Complete Criteria  See next chart for linkage of technical baselines to technical reviews 52/66
  • 53. Interesting Attributes of TPMs  Achieved to Date (sounds like EV)  Current Estimate (sounds like EAC/ETC)  Milestone  Planned (target) value (sounds like PV)  Planned performance profile (sounds like a PMB)  Tolerance band (sounds like reporting thresholds)  Threshold (yep, just what we thought)  Variance (sounds like variance!) 53/66